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Air Products and Chemicals, Inc (APD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $299.17: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.73; Below-average business quality.

Air Products and Chemicals is an industrial gases company producing atmospheric gases, hydrogen, helium, CO2, and specialty gases for refining, chemicals, metals, electronics, and clean energy industries globally through five regional segments. Regional industrial gases sales... Read more

$299.17+0.4% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#30 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
Stop $289.04Target $301.14(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$317.57+6.2%21 analysts
$301.14our TP
$299.17price
$317.57mean
$275
$351

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $299.17: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.73; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: crude helium suppliers
Target reached (-4.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)21.4
Mkt Cap$67.4B
EV/EBITDA102.3
Profit Mgn-2.7%
ROE-1.7%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta0.81
Dividend2.39%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.73bearish
IV42%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliercrude helium suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our supply of crude helium for purification and resale is largely dependent upon natural gas production by crude helium suppliers.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.9
Quality Rank
2.5
Growth Rank
5.3

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
2.3
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.4
Piotroski F
5.6
Operating Margin
9.7
Cash-burning: FCF -50% of revenueNo competitive moat

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.9
Earnings Growth
3.9
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $281.25Resistance $307.29

Price Targets

$289
$301
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $299.17: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.73; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $289.04. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $301.14 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $289.04. Stop-loss: $289.04.

What are the risks of investing in APD?

Concentration risk — Supplier: crude helium suppliers; Target reached (-4.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is APD overvalued or undervalued?

Air Products and Chemicals, Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about APD?

29 analysts cover APD with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $318.

What does Air Products and Chemicals, Inc do?Air Products and Chemicals is an industrial gases company producing atmospheric gases, hydrogen, helium, CO2, and...

Air Products and Chemicals is an industrial gases company producing atmospheric gases, hydrogen, helium, CO2, and specialty gases for refining, chemicals, metals, electronics, and clean energy industries globally through five regional segments. Regional industrial gases sales constituted over 90% of consolidated sales in fiscal years 2025, 2024, and 2023, with approximately 60% of sales from customers outside the U.S.

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