Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Industrials · Specialty Business Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.86: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.
Amentum Holdings is a global advanced engineering and technology solutions provider to U.S. and allied government agencies, formed in September 2024 through a merger of legacy Amentum with Jacobs Solutions' Critical Mission Solutions business. The company operates two... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.86: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerU.S. federal government81%10-K Item 1A: 'The U.S. federal government represented 81% of our revenues for the year ended October 3, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.86: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $24.38. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $31.79 (+22.8% upside). Prior stop was $24.38. Stop-loss: $24.38.
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government (81.0%); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).
Amentum Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 63.4 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover AMTM with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $37.
What does Amentum Holdings, Inc. do?Amentum Holdings is a global advanced engineering and technology solutions provider to U.S. and allied government...
Amentum Holdings is a global advanced engineering and technology solutions provider to U.S. and allied government agencies, formed in September 2024 through a merger of legacy Amentum with Jacobs Solutions' Critical Mission Solutions business. The company operates two segments—Digital Solutions and Global Engineering Solutions—with approximately 50,000 employees in over 70 countries. The U.S. federal government represented 81% of revenues for fiscal year 2025.