Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Specialty Business Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.75: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.86; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Amentum is a global advanced engineering and technology solutions provider with two segments (Digital Solutions and Global Engineering Solutions), serving U.S. and allied government agencies in energy, intelligence, space, defense, and civilian markets. The U.S. federal... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.75: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.86; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Amentum Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- BTIG Reiterates Buy on Amentum Holdings, Maintains $35 Price Target — benzinga May 14, 2026 positive
- RBC Capital Maintains Sector Perform on Amentum Holdings, Lowers Price Target to $28 — benzinga May 13, 2026 neutral
- Truist Securities Reiterates Buy on Amentum Holdings, Lowers Price Target to $35 — benzinga May 13, 2026 positive
- Transcript: Amentum Holdings Q2 2026 Earnings Conference Call — benzinga May 12, 2026 neutral
- Amentum Holdings Affirms FY2026 Adj EPS Guidance of $2.25-$2.45 vs $2.41 Est; Affirms FY2026 Sales Guidance of $13.950B- — benzinga May 11, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerU.S. federal government81%10-K Item 1: 'The U.S. federal government represented 81% of our revenues for the year ended October 3, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Revenue shrinking — -0.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.75: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.86; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $21.92. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $30.29 (+33.8% upside). Prior stop was $21.92. Stop-loss: $21.92.
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government (81.0%); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).
Amentum Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.7 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover AMTM with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $35.
What does Amentum Holdings, Inc. do?Amentum is a global advanced engineering and technology solutions provider with two segments (Digital Solutions and...
Amentum is a global advanced engineering and technology solutions provider with two segments (Digital Solutions and Global Engineering Solutions), serving U.S. and allied government agencies in energy, intelligence, space, defense, and civilian markets. The U.S. federal government represented 81% of fiscal 2025 revenues, supported by $47.1 billion of backlog and ~50,000 employees in 70+ countries.