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Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.33: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrates. The company explores for tin and tungsten deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Canada, Korea, Portugal, Spain, and the United States projects and mines. The company is headquartered... Read more

$17.33+19.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#5 of 21 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1.21%
Stop $16.01Target $20.53(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$23.59+36.1%7 analysts
$20.53our TP
$17.33price
$23.59mean
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.33: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Almonty Industries Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)20.9
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA-206.7
Profit Mgn-265.1%
ROE-70.7%
Rev Growth221.2%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV89%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
9.2
Industry growth leader

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.4
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
2.3
Operating Margin
3.5
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
8.3
Cash-burning: FCF -119% of revenueNo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.18Resistance $23.87

Price Targets

$16
$21
A.Upside+18.5%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-14 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.33: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $16.01. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.53 (+19.2% upside). Prior stop was $16.01. Stop-loss: $16.01.

What are the risks of investing in ALM?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is ALM overvalued or undervalued?

Almonty Industries Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 20.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALM?

12 analysts cover ALM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Almonty Industries Inc. do?Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrates. The company explores for...

Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrates. The company explores for tin and tungsten deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Canada, Korea, Portugal, Spain, and the United States projects and mines. The company is headquartered in Dillon, Montana.

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