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Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.05: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrates. The company explores for tin and tungsten deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Canada, Korea, Portugal, Spain, and the United States projects and mines. The company is headquartered... Read more

$21.05+13.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#7 of 21 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Stop $19.57Target $23.92(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$21.92+4.2%7 analysts
$23.92our TP
$21.05price
$21.92mean
$19
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.05: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-9.3% upside)
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)25.1
Mkt Cap$5.6B
EV/EBITDA-191.5
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-81.6%
Rev Growth38.8%
Beta1.91
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV107%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
9.1
Cash-burning: FCF -199% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings in 14 days
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.00Resistance $24.41

Price Targets

$20
$24
A.Upside+13.6%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-14 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.05: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $19.57. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.92 (+13.7% upside). Prior stop was $19.57. Stop-loss: $19.57.

What are the risks of investing in ALM?

Target reached (-9.3% upside); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is ALM overvalued or undervalued?

Almonty Industries Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 25.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALM?

12 analysts cover ALM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Almonty Industries Inc. do?Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrates. The company explores for...

Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrates. The company explores for tin and tungsten deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Canada, Korea, Portugal, Spain, and the United States projects and mines. The company is headquartered in Dillon, Montana.

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