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ALLYAlly Financial Inc.Hold6.4·$43.53+2.71%
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Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $43.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

Ally Financial is a digital bank and automotive finance company with $196B in assets, operating the nation's largest all-digital bank alongside an automotive financing and insurance business serving dealer networks. Revenue comes from net interest income on auto loans, leases,... Read more

$43.53+11.8% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#5 of 29 Credit Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.83%(5y avg 3.20%)Payout29.13%sustainable
Stop $41.31Target $48.61(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$54.01+24.1%17 analysts
$48.61our TP
$43.53price
$54.01mean
$70

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $43.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 16, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.3
P/E (Fwd)6.5
Mkt Cap$13.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn18.2%
ROE9.4%
Rev Growth19.7%
Beta1.09
Dividend2.83%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV46%normal
Max Pain$36-17.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerGM and Stellantis dealers
    10-K Item 1A: 'GM and Stellantis dealers and their retail customers continue to constitute a significant portion of our customer base, which creates concentration risk for us.'
  • LOWloan_portfoliobrokered deposits4.4%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our brokered deposits totaled $6.7 billion at December 31, 2025, which represented 4.4% of total deposit liabilities.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-08Item 5.02LOW
    At the May 6, 2026 Annual Meeting, shareholders approved the Ally Financial Inc. Incentive Compensation Omnibus Plan (2026 ICP), authorizing 25,217,502 shares. Routine compensatory plan approval; no officer departures.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
0.6
Gap
5.0
52w Position
8.6
GatesExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.3>=5.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $40.62Resistance $43.57

Price Targets

$41
$49
A.Upside+11.7%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts24
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$54

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-16 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALLY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $43.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $48.61 (+11.7%), stop $41.31 (−5.4%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALLY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.61 (+11.8% upside). Target $48.61 (+11.7%), stop $41.31 (−5.4%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $41.31.

What are the risks of investing in ALLY?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

Is ALLY overvalued or undervalued?

Ally Financial Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.3 (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ALLY?

24 analysts cover ALLY with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $54.

What does Ally Financial Inc. do?Ally Financial is a digital bank and automotive finance company with $196B in assets, operating the nation's largest...

Ally Financial is a digital bank and automotive finance company with $196B in assets, operating the nation's largest all-digital bank alongside an automotive financing and insurance business serving dealer networks. Revenue comes from net interest income on auto loans, leases, and deposits; deposits represent 87% of liability-based funding.

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