AIV shows short-term bullish momentum, but declining revenue of -4% YoY, a rich 52.6x FFO-proxy multiple, a momentum score that only marginally clears the engine's floor, and a red-flagged earnings-quality metric keep the setup unattractive for new capital.
Thesis pillars
- Rich Ffo Proxy Multiple→Stable
- Declining Revenue Headwind→Stable
- Momentum Continuation Just Above Floor→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Apartment Investment and Manage (AIV) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Real Estate · REIT - Residential
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.96: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Apartment Investment and Management Company is a diversified real estate company primarily focused on value add and opportunistic investments, targeting the U.S. multifamily sector. Aimco's mission is to make real estate investments where outcomes are enhanced through our human... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.96: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -3.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.96: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $2.86. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $3.04 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $2.86. Stop-loss: $2.86.
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).
Apartment Investment and Manage trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward -6.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
5 analysts cover AIV with a consensus score of 4.2/5.
What does Apartment Investment and Manage do?Apartment Investment and Management Company is a diversified real estate company primarily focused on value add and...
Apartment Investment and Management Company is a diversified real estate company primarily focused on value add and opportunistic investments, targeting the U.S. multifamily sector. Aimco's mission is to make real estate investments where outcomes are enhanced through our human capital so that substantial value is created for investors, teammates, and the communities in which we operate. Aimco is traded on the New York Stock Exchange as AIV. Apartment Investment and Management Company was incorporated in 1975 in Maryland, USA.