Federal Agricultural Mortgage C (AGM) Stock Analysis
Financial Services · Credit Services
Sell if holding. At $171.42, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: top-3 AgVantage counterparties (90.6%); Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 Agricultural Finance institutions (55.0%).
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (Farmer Mac) is a federally-chartered GSE providing a secondary market for agricultural mortgage loans, USDA Securities, and rural infrastructure loans, earning net interest income and guarantee/commitment fees. As of Dec 31, 2025, $8.4B... Read more
Sell if holding. At $171.42, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: top-3 AgVantage counterparties (90.6%); Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 Agricultural Finance institutions (55.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Federal Agricultural Mortgage C
Latest news
- CA Cultural Technology Group Postpones AGM as Share Trading Remains Suspended - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail neutral
- Federal Agricultural Mortgage to Pay Quarterly Dividend of $1.60 a Share, Payable June 30 to Holders of Record June 15 - — marketscreener.com positive
- Greggs Passes All AGM Resolutions but Faces Dissent on Share Issuance Powers - TipRanks — TipRanks neutral
- Federal Agricultural Mortgage (AGM) Plans $100M Preferred Stock Offering - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- WuXi AppTec Confirms AGM and Share Class Meeting Results, Governance Changes and Dividend - TipRanks — TipRanks neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHcounterpartytop-3 AgVantage counterparties91%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 90.6% of the $8.4 billion outstanding principal amount of AgVantage securities... were issued by three institutions'
- HIGHCustomertop-10 Agricultural Finance institutions55%10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, ten institutions generated approximately 55% of loan purchase volume in the Agricultural Finance line of business'
- HIGHCustomertwo Infrastructure Finance institutions10-K Item 1A: 'transactions with two institutions represented nearly all of the business volume under our Infrastructure Finance line of business'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-21Item 5.02LOWMandy M. Talan (Corporate Controller) appointed principal accounting officer effective April 21, 2026, succeeding Gregory Ramsey who retired April 8, 2026. No disagreement cited.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-26Item 5.02LOWGregory N. Ramsey, VP-Chief Accounting Officer (principal accounting officer), announced retirement effective April 8, 2026. No disagreement cited; successor Mandy Talan named.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-11Item 5.02LOWHuman Capital and Compensation Committee approved base salary increases for named executive officers on March 5, 2026, effective retroactively to January 2026. Routine compensatory arrangement; no officer departures.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $171.42, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: top-3 AgVantage counterparties (90.6%); Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 Agricultural Finance institutions (55.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $163.87. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $186.72 (+8.9% upside). Prior stop was $163.87. Stop-loss: $163.87.
Concentration risk — Counterparty: top-3 AgVantage counterparties (90.6%); Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 Agricultural Finance institutions (55.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.9%.
Federal Agricultural Mortgage C trades at a P/E of 10.1 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
6 analysts cover AGM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $220.
What does Federal Agricultural Mortgage C do?Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (Farmer Mac) is a federally-chartered GSE providing a secondary market for...
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (Farmer Mac) is a federally-chartered GSE providing a secondary market for agricultural mortgage loans, USDA Securities, and rural infrastructure loans, earning net interest income and guarantee/commitment fees. As of Dec 31, 2025, $8.4B in AgVantage securities were outstanding (90.6% from three institutions) and $5.4B in contingent LTSPC/guarantee liabilities.