Skip to main content

American Electric Power Company (AEP) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $136.05 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.2% away).

American Electric Power is a public utility holding company providing electric generation, transmission, and distribution across portions of 11 states through regulated subsidiaries. Revenue comes from regulated electric tariffs covering ~6.7M retail customers across vertically... Read more

$136.05-0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#15 of 38 Utilities - Regulated Electric
Stop $131.48Target $134.99(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$141.38+3.9%21 analysts
$134.99our TP
$136.05price
$141.38mean
$130
$169

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $136.05 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.2% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.2
P/E (Fwd)19.6
Mkt Cap$73.1B
EV/EBITDA13.7
Profit Mgn16.4%
ROE12.5%
Rev Growth13.2%
Beta0.57
Dividend2.83%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCommodityCoal and Lignite43%
    10-K Item 1: 'Coal and Lignite | 43%'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAEP Texas two largest REPs38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, AEP Texas' two largest REPs accounted for 38% of its operating revenue.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-17Item 5.02LOW
    Director Henry P. Linginfelter notified Board on February 13, 2026 that he will not stand for re-election at 2026 Annual Meeting. Decision not due to any disagreement with Company. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.8
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $130.52Resistance $137.74

Price Targets

$131
$135
A.Upside-0.8%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AEP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $136.05 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $131.48. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AEP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $134.99 (-0.8% upside). Prior stop was $131.48. Stop-loss: $131.48.

What are the risks of investing in AEP?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.2% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0.

Is AEP overvalued or undervalued?

American Electric Power Company trades at a P/E of 20.2 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AEP?

28 analysts cover AEP with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $141.

What does American Electric Power Company do?American Electric Power is a public utility holding company providing electric generation, transmission, and...

American Electric Power is a public utility holding company providing electric generation, transmission, and distribution across portions of 11 states through regulated subsidiaries. Revenue comes from regulated electric tariffs covering ~6.7M retail customers across vertically integrated utilities in OH, VA, WV, OK, AR, LA, TX, IN, KY, TN, MI. The 2025 generation mix was 43% coal, 22% natural gas, 19% nuclear, and 16% renewables.

Related stocks: EIX (Edison International) · ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · FE (FirstEnergy Corp.) · KEP (Korea Electric Power Corporatio)