Value
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 1.3 |
| P/S | 5.2 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 4.0 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 30.1x
- ▸PEG: 0.21
AEIS · Why this verdict
Why Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score5.9/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.9 |
| ROA | 4.0 |
| Gross margin | 3.8 |
| Op margin | 5.7 |
| Net margin | 5.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.8 |
| FCF quality | 2.1 |
| Moat | 6.9 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 26% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
9.6/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 9.1 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 26% YoY
Momentum
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 3.2 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.5 |
| Analyst rating | 7.0 |
| Price target | 5.9 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (10.0) — signal dampened
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.4 |
| quality rank | 5.5 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
Technical
3.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.0 |
| support resistance | 1.0 |
| 52w position | 8.7 |
| gap | 3.0 |
- ▸Extreme gap up (5.1%) - may pull back
Risk (lower is worse)
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.1 |
| days to cover | 8.7 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 7.8 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 5.8 |
| debt equity | 8.0 |
- ▸High IV: 88%
- ▸Above max pain $220
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 8.5 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 11.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=+2Passed (6)
- MOMENTUM:7.5>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:50d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.5=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
-0.50
Upside
-7.5%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupBREAKOUT — Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:7.5>=5.5. Top dim: Growth at 9.6; weakest: Technical at 3.2. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 9.6, Momentum at 7.5, and Catalyst at 7.0; the weakest are Technical at 3.2, Peer rank at 3.2, and Value at 4.5. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.50 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.