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AEHRAehr Test SystemsSell4.7·$60.84
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Aehr Test Systems is a fast-growing (34% YoY) semiconductor test equipment maker with 102.9% upside to the analyst target, but it is cash-burning, concentrated in five customers, heavily sold by insiders and 63% off its high, with earnings due in 1 day.

Thesis pillars

  • Rapid Growth Recovery↓Deteriorating
  • Customer And Product Concentration↓Deteriorating
  • Cash Burn And Low Quality↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jul 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Aehr Test Systems (AEHR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $60.84: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 4.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Aehr Test Systems, based in Fremont, California, makes wafer-level and package-level test and burn-in systems for semiconductors used in AI, silicon carbide and gallium nitride power devices, and silicon photonics. It earns revenue from system sales, consumable WaferPak and... Read more

$60.84+72.9% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#23 of 24 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-0.10%
Stop $56.58Analyst target $105.19(−15% haircut)A.R:R 4.9:1
Analyst consensus$123.75+103.4%4 analysts with price targets
$105.19Analyst target
$60.84price
$123.75mean
$140

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $60.84: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 4.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Aehr Test Systems

About Aehr Test Systems

Aehr Test Systems generated roughly $50.0 million of net revenue in fiscal 2026, split between $31.5 million from full wafer contact products and $18.5 million from package level test and burn-in, versus about $59.0 million in fiscal 2025. Backlog stood at $80.6 million at May 29, 2026, compared with $15.2 million a year earlier. The Fremont, California company, incorporated in 1977, sells test and burn-in systems for AI processors, silicon carbide and gallium nitride power devices, and silicon photonics.

Aehr sells to semiconductor manufacturers, contract assemblers, electronics manufacturers and burn-in and test service companies. The FOX-XP platform can test and burn-in up to 18 wafers at a time, and each system relies on WaferPak Contactors and DiePak Carriers that are custom designed for each device type with a typical lifetime of two to seven years, so multiple sets could be purchased over the life of one system. Package level revenue comes from the Sonoma, Tahoe and Echo platforms acquired in fiscal 2025; the Sonoma line targets AI accelerators and GPUs drawing as much as 1600 or more watts. The company assembles products from components made by others, including environmental chambers, power supplies and printed circuit assemblies. The filing names larger systems manufacturers, independent test labs that build their own burn-in systems, and captive burn-in suppliers to large IC makers in Asia as competitors. Sales and service operations sit in the United States, Germany, Japan, the Philippines and Taiwan, with dedicated resources in China and South Korea.

Show full overview

Customer concentration is the sharpest lens on the filing. Sales to the five largest customers made up approximately 70% of net sales in fiscal 2026, after 77% in fiscal 2025 and 93% in fiscal 2024. In fiscal 2026 three customers accounted for approximately 26%, 14% and 11%, while in fiscal 2024 two customers accounted for approximately 67% and 17%. Most purchase orders can be cancelled or rescheduled with limited penalties, so the $80.6 million backlog may not translate into revenue in a given period, and the loss or deferral of a few high-value system sales could weigh on quarterly results.

See also: Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

From Aehr Test Systems's most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 18, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Aehr Test Systems

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T12:04:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 4, 202791d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: five largest customers (70.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: full wafer contact product lines (63.0%)
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)36.2
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA-166.8
Profit Mgn-14.3%
ROE-4.2%
Rev Growth—
Beta3.33
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.16bearish
IV117%elevated
Max Pain$35-42.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerfive largest customers70%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to our five largest customers accounted for approximately 70%, 77%, and 93% of our net sales in fiscal 2026, 2025, and 2024, respectively.'
  • HIGHProductfull wafer contact product lines63%
    10-K Item 1: 'Net revenues of full wafer contact product lines, systems, WaferPak Contactors and services ... accounted for approximately 63%, 66%, and 98%'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -14.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
3.1
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.5
Piotroski F
5.6
Operating Margin
7.3
Cash-burning: FCF -4% of revenueQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.2
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesINSIDER 0.75%=EXTREMEMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 4.9 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $50.52Resistance $91.82

Price Targets

$57
$105
A.Upside+72.9%
A.R:R4.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! Insider activity: 0.75%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-04 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AEHR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $60.84: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 4.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $56.58. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AEHR stock price target?

Analyst target: $105.19 (+72.9% upside). Prior stop was $56.58. Stop-loss: $56.58.

What are the risks of investing in AEHR?

Concentration risk — Customer: five largest customers (70.0%); Concentration risk — Product: full wafer contact product lines (63.0%); Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0).

Is AEHR overvalued or undervalued?

Aehr Test Systems trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 36.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AEHR?

12 analysts rate AEHR, with a consensus score of 4.3/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $124.

What does Aehr Test Systems do?Aehr Test Systems, based in Fremont, California, makes wafer-level and package-level test and burn-in systems for...

Aehr Test Systems, based in Fremont, California, makes wafer-level and package-level test and burn-in systems for semiconductors used in AI, silicon carbide and gallium nitride power devices, and silicon photonics. It earns revenue from system sales, consumable WaferPak and DiePak contactors, and services, with net revenue of about $50.0 million in fiscal 2026. Its full-wafer contactor tests up to 18 wafers at once in one system footprint.

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