Ameren Corporation (AEE) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the AEE stock price target?

Take-profit $113.22 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $108.68.

Q: Is AEE overvalued or undervalued?

Ameren Corporation trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 19.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about AEE?

20 analysts cover AEE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $121.

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Ameren is a regulated electric and gas utility holding company serving Missouri (Ameren Missouri) and Illinois (Ameren Illinois, ATXI) through rate-regulated distribution services. Revenue is set by MoPSC (~54% of 2025 revenues), ICC (~38%), and FERC (~8%). Capital expenditure... Read more

$112.69+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#20 of 38 Utilities - Regulated Electric

Stop $108.68Target $113.22(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1

Analyst target$120.60+7.0%15 analysts

$113.22our TP

$112.69price

$120.60mean

$105

$136

Sell if holding. At $112.69, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: MoPSC (54.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: Powder River Basin coal suppliers (96.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)

Risks

Concentration risk — Regulatory: MoPSC (54.0%)

Concentration risk — Supplier: Powder River Basin coal suppliers (96.0%)

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.8

P/E (Fwd)19.2

Mkt Cap$30.8B

EV/EBITDA13.7

Profit Mgn17.2%

ROE11.3%

Rev Growth-8.8%

Beta0.53

Dividend2.70%

Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C3.29bearish

IV34%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHregulatoryMoPSC54%
10-K Item 1: 'Electric service(b)| MoPSC...52%...Natural gas delivery service| MoPSC...2%'
HIGHSupplierPowder River Basin coal suppliers96%
10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 96% of Ameren Missouri's coal is purchased from the Powder River Basin in Wyoming, which has a limited number of suppliers.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-02-09Item 5.02LOW
Timothy S. Rausch elected to Board effective March 1, 2026; appointed to Finance Committee and Nuclear, Operations and Environmental Sustainability Committee. Former Chief Nuclear Officer of TVA. No departure or disagreement.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.315%0.79

Quality4.915%0.73

Growth3.115%0.46

Momentum5.610%0.56

Sentiment6.210%0.62

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.110%0.41

Technical Setup5.55%0.28

Risk Profile6.15%0.30

Catalyst6.75%0.34

Overall (Σ contributions)5.00

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -8.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

0.3

Earnings Growth

5.9

Declining revenue: -9%

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate

RSI

48 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $108.50Resistance $115.53

Price Targets

$109

$113

A.Upside+0.5%

A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.7% upside)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is AEE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $112.69, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: MoPSC (54.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: Powder River Basin coal suppliers (96.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $108.68. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AEE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $113.22 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $108.68. Stop-loss: $108.68.

What are the risks of investing in AEE?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: MoPSC (54.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: Powder River Basin coal suppliers (96.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is AEE overvalued or undervalued?

Ameren Corporation trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 19.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AEE?

20 analysts cover AEE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $121.

What does Ameren Corporation do?Ameren is a regulated electric and gas utility holding company serving Missouri (Ameren Missouri) and Illinois (Ameren...