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Ameren Corporation (AEE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $107.38 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Ameren is a regulated utility holding company with Ameren Missouri (electric/gas, MoPSC-regulated, ~54% of 2025 operating revenues) and Ameren Illinois (electric/gas, ICC-regulated, ~38%) plus FERC-regulated transmission (ATXI, ~8%). The company plans up to $33.1B in capital... Read more

$107.38+0.5% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#13 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-6.29%
IncomeYield2.79%(5y avg 2.84%)Payout51.80%sustainable
Stop $103.32Target $107.88(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$119.87+11.6%15 analysts
$107.88our TP
$107.38price
$119.87mean
$136

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $107.38 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Ameren Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.3
P/E (Fwd)18.5
Mkt Cap$29.7B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn17.8%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth3.7%
Beta0.51
Dividend2.79%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV32%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.8
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Uptrend pullback (RSI 34) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $105.75Resistance $115.58

Price Targets

$103
$108
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.5% upside)
! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AEE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $107.38 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $103.32. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AEE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $107.88 (+0.5% upside). Prior stop was $103.32. Stop-loss: $103.32.

What are the risks of investing in AEE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is AEE overvalued or undervalued?

Ameren Corporation trades at a P/E of 19.3 (forward 18.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AEE?

22 analysts cover AEE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $120.

What does Ameren Corporation do?Ameren is a regulated utility holding company with Ameren Missouri (electric/gas, MoPSC-regulated, ~54% of 2025...

Ameren is a regulated utility holding company with Ameren Missouri (electric/gas, MoPSC-regulated, ~54% of 2025 operating revenues) and Ameren Illinois (electric/gas, ICC-regulated, ~38%) plus FERC-regulated transmission (ATXI, ~8%). The company plans up to $33.1B in capital expenditures from 2026-2030 and generates power primarily from coal/lignite (43%), natural gas (22%), nuclear (19%), and renewables (16%).

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