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Ameren Corporation (AEE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $108.69 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Ameren is a regulated utility holding company with Ameren Missouri (electric/gas, MoPSC-regulated, ~54% of 2025 operating revenues) and Ameren Illinois (electric/gas, ICC-regulated, ~38%) plus FERC-regulated transmission (ATXI, ~8%). The company plans up to $33.1B in capital... Read more

$108.69+4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#16 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-6.20%
IncomeYield2.75%(5y avg 2.84%)Payout51.80%sustainable
Stop $104.73Target $113.27(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$119.87+10.3%15 analysts
$113.27our TP
$108.69price
$119.87mean
$105
$136

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $108.69 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Ameren Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:13:12Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.6
P/E (Fwd)18.8
Mkt Cap$30.2B
EV/EBITDA13.5
Profit Mgn17.8%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth3.7%
Beta0.51
Dividend2.75%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.09bullish
IV34%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.9
Rsi
8.3
Uptrend pullback (RSI 32) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $105.75Resistance $115.58

Price Targets

$105
$113
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.7% upside)
! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AEE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $108.69 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $104.73. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AEE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $113.27 (+4.2% upside). Prior stop was $104.73. Stop-loss: $104.73.

What are the risks of investing in AEE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is AEE overvalued or undervalued?

Ameren Corporation trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AEE?

22 analysts cover AEE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $120.

What does Ameren Corporation do?Ameren is a regulated utility holding company with Ameren Missouri (electric/gas, MoPSC-regulated, ~54% of 2025...

Ameren is a regulated utility holding company with Ameren Missouri (electric/gas, MoPSC-regulated, ~54% of 2025 operating revenues) and Ameren Illinois (electric/gas, ICC-regulated, ~38%) plus FERC-regulated transmission (ATXI, ~8%). The company plans up to $33.1B in capital expenditures from 2026-2030 and generates power primarily from coal/lignite (43%), natural gas (22%), nuclear (19%), and renewables (16%).

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