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ADVAdvantage Solutions Inc.Sell5.4·$38.86-12.10%
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Advantage Solutions Inc. (ADV) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 4/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.86: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Advantage Solutions Inc. provides outsourced sales, marketing, merchandising, sampling, and retailer support services to consumer packaged goods manufacturers and retailers in North America, Asia Pacific, and Europe. It operates in three segments: Branded Services, Experiential... Read more

$38.86+19.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#8 of 16 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield41.21%
Stop $36.14Target $46.50(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$42.50+9.4%2 analysts
$46.50our TP
$38.86price
$42.50mean
$35
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.86: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-7.0% upside)
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (4/5): Margin compression (op margin -535.8%), High leverage (D/E 1.7), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.50% of cap)…

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)4.2
Mkt Cap$517M
EV/EBITDA6.3
Profit Mgn-6.8%
ROE-41.5%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta2.09
DividendNone
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -6.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.1
Roa
1.5
Moat
3.6
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
6.9
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.3
Growth Rank
3.1
Value Rank
9.4
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.80Resistance $47.45

Price Targets

$36
$47
A.Upside+19.7%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (4/5): Margin compression (op margin -535.8%), High leverage (D/E 1.7), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.50% of cap)…

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ADV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.86: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $36.14. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ADV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.50 (+19.7% upside). Prior stop was $36.14. Stop-loss: $36.14.

What are the risks of investing in ADV?

Target reached (-7.0% upside); Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (4/5): Margin compression (op margin -535.8%), High leverage (D/E 1.7), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.50% of cap)….

Is ADV overvalued or undervalued?

Advantage Solutions Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 4.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ADV?

6 analysts cover ADV with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Advantage Solutions Inc. do?Advantage Solutions Inc. provides outsourced sales, marketing, merchandising, sampling, and retailer support services...

Advantage Solutions Inc. provides outsourced sales, marketing, merchandising, sampling, and retailer support services to consumer packaged goods manufacturers and retailers in North America, Asia Pacific, and Europe. It operates in three segments: Branded Services, Experiential Services, and Retailer Services. The Branded Services segment delivers sales, merchandising, and omni-commerce marketing support to branded consumer packaged goods manufacturers, including brokerage services, branded merchandising, and shopper-centric marketing programs across in-store and digital platforms. The Experiential Services segment provides in-store and digital sampling programs, demonstrations, and experiential events designed to drive trial, conversion, and sustained consumer engagement. The Retailer Services segment offers solutions supporting retailers in in-store merchandising execution, private brand strategy and development, retail media, and marketing initiatives, including reset services, category updates, space management, audits, retailer merchandising, advisory services, and agency services for print and digital circulars and targeted advertising. The company serves a diverse client base across grocery, mass, club, retail pharmacy, convenience, and other channels in retail locations. The company was formerly known as Karman Holding Corp. and changed its name to Advantage Solutions Inc. in March 2016. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

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