Addus HomeCare Corporation (ADUS) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the ADUS stock price target?

Take-profit $121.33 (+26.0% upside). Target $121.33 (+26.0%), stop $91.23 (−5.6%), A.R:R 4.6:1.

Q: Is ADUS overvalued or undervalued?

Addus HomeCare Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.6 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about ADUS?

20 analysts cover ADUS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $139.

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $96.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Illinois (37.0%); Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Addus HomeCare provides personal care, hospice, and home health services in 23 states via ~262 offices, serving ~107,000 consumers in 2025. Revenue of $1.42B in 2025 comes primarily from state Medicaid programs (39.3%) and Medicare (20.5%), with Illinois (37.0%), Texas (15.2%),... Read more

$96.30+26.0% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#2 of 27 Medical Care Facilities

Stop $91.23Target $121.33(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.6:1

Analyst target$139.46+44.8%13 analysts

$121.33our TP

$96.30price

$139.46mean

$160

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $96.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Illinois (37.0%); Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Attractive valuation

Strong growth profile

Risks

Concentration risk — Geographic: Illinois (37.0%)

Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.6

P/E (Fwd)13.0

Mkt Cap$1.8B

EV/EBITDA11.8

Profit Mgn6.7%

ROE9.3%

Rev Growth25.6%

Beta0.96

DividendNone

Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish

IV55%elevated

Max Pain$90-6.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHGeographicIllinois37%
10-K Item 1A: 'we derived approximately 37.0% of our net service revenues from services provided in Illinois'
MEDIUMGeographicTexas15%
10-K Item 1A: '37.0% of our net service revenues from services provided in Illinois, 13.1% from services provided in New Mexico and 15.2% from services provided in Texas'
MEDIUMGeographicNew Mexico13%
10-K Item 1A: '13.1% from services provided in New Mexico and 15.2% from services provided in Texas'
MEDIUMCustomerIllinois Department on Aging programs18%
10-K Item 1A: 'we derived approximately 18.1%...of our revenue from the Illinois Department on Aging programs'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.815%1.17

Quality5.015%0.75

Growth9.415%1.41

Momentum5.610%0.56

Sentiment7.310%0.73

Insider Activity3.310%0.33

Peer Rank4.310%0.43

Technical Setup3.95%0.20

Risk Profile7.05%0.35

Catalyst6.05%0.30

Overall (Σ contributions)6.22

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger

2.5

Support Resistance

3.7

52w Position

5.5

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.6>=5.5A.R:R 4.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

61 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $90.89Resistance $99.45

Price Targets

$91

$121

A.Upside+26.0%

A.R:R4.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ADUS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $96.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Illinois (37.0%); Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $121.33 (+26.0%), stop $91.23 (−5.6%), A.R:R 4.6:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ADUS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $121.33 (+26.0% upside). Target $121.33 (+26.0%), stop $91.23 (−5.6%), A.R:R 4.6:1. Stop-loss: $91.23.

What are the risks of investing in ADUS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Illinois (37.0%); Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ADUS overvalued or undervalued?

Addus HomeCare Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.6 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ADUS?

20 analysts cover ADUS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $139.

What does Addus HomeCare Corporation do?Addus HomeCare provides personal care, hospice, and home health services in 23 states via ~262 offices, serving...