Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the ACHR stock price target?

Take-profit $9.52 (+64.8% upside). Prior stop was $5.37.

Q: Is ACHR overvalued or undervalued?

Archer Aviation Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about ACHR?

15 analysts cover ACHR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $11.

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.76: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Archer Aviation is developing the Midnight eVTOL aircraft for urban air taxi operations and a dual-use hybrid-electric VTOL aircraft for defense in partnership with Anduril Industries. The company has not yet generated commercial revenue; net loss was $618.2 million in 2025 and... Read more

$5.76+64.8% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#35 of 46 Aerospace & Defense

Stop $5.37Target $9.52(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.8:1

Analyst target$10.94+90.0%9 analysts

$9.52our TP

$5.76price

$10.94mean

$18

Passes 4/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)-5.4

Mkt Cap$4.2B

EV/EBITDA-3.3

Profit Mgn0.0%

ROE-41.8%

Rev Growth—

Beta3.24

DividendNone

Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish

IV92%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-03-19Item 5.02LOW
Tosha Perkins transitioning from Chief Administrative Officer to senior advisor effective April 17, 2026. No reason cited for role change; no successor named for CAO position.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value9.015%1.35

Quality1.515%0.22

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum3.310%0.33

Sentiment7.410%0.74

Insider Activity3.810%0.38

Peer Rank4.510%0.45

Technical Setup3.15%0.16

Risk Profile2.95%0.14

Catalyst6.75%0.34

Overall (Σ contributions)4.86

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe

0.0

Roa

0.0

Gross Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Piotroski F

2.2

Current Ratio

5.0

Moat

5.0

Cash-burning: FCF -125479% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 5.7% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility

0.0

Implied Vol

0.0

Beta

0.0

Debt Equity

0.0

Short Interest

2.9

Days To Cover

7.2

Put Call

10.0

High IV: 92%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position

0.0

Bollinger

4.6

Support Resistance

4.8

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.7

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

4.0

Rsi

4.5

Macd

6.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

59 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.00Resistance $6.49

Price Targets

$10

A.Upside+65.3%

A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-11 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ACHR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.76: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Prior stop was $5.37. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACHR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.52 (+64.8% upside). Prior stop was $5.37. Stop-loss: $5.37.

What are the risks of investing in ACHR?

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is ACHR overvalued or undervalued?

Archer Aviation Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACHR?

15 analysts cover ACHR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Archer Aviation Inc. do?Archer Aviation is developing the Midnight eVTOL aircraft for urban air taxi operations and a dual-use hybrid-electric...