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Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.83: Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 4.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.68; Below-average business quality.

Archer Aviation is a pre-revenue eVTOL aircraft developer building Midnight for urban air taxi operations and a hybrid-electric VTOL for defense with Anduril, employing 1,660 people as of December 31, 2025. It is pursuing FAA type certification (Means of Compliance accepted... Read more

$5.83+55.9% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#38 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-9.24%
Stop $5.51Target $9.23(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$10.61+82.0%9 analysts
$9.23our TP
$5.83price
$10.61mean
$18

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.83: Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 4.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.68; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Archer Aviation Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-6.2
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA-3.5
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-48.0%
Rev Growth
Beta3.13
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C1.68bearish
IV86%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-19Item 5.02LOW
    Tosha Perkins transitioned from Chief Administrative Officer to senior advisor effective April 17, 2026. No reason cited; no successor named for CAO role.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
3.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -21959% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 6.9% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Put Call
2.1
Short Interest
2.6
Days To Cover
6.8
Elevated put/call: 1.68High IV: 86%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.4
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.47Resistance $6.75

Price Targets

$6
$9
A.Upside+58.3%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACHR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.83: Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 4.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.68; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Prior stop was $5.51. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACHR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.23 (+55.9% upside). Prior stop was $5.51. Stop-loss: $5.51.

What are the risks of investing in ACHR?

Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0).

Is ACHR overvalued or undervalued?

Archer Aviation Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -6.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACHR?

15 analysts cover ACHR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Archer Aviation Inc. do?Archer Aviation is a pre-revenue eVTOL aircraft developer building Midnight for urban air taxi operations and a...

Archer Aviation is a pre-revenue eVTOL aircraft developer building Midnight for urban air taxi operations and a hybrid-electric VTOL for defense with Anduril, employing 1,660 people as of December 31, 2025. It is pursuing FAA type certification (Means of Compliance accepted January 2026) and building manufacturing capacity in Silicon Valley and Georgia.

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