Skip to main content

Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.75: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 5.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Archer Aviation is developing the Midnight eVTOL aircraft for urban air taxi operations and a dual-use hybrid-electric VTOL aircraft for defense in partnership with Anduril Industries. The company has not yet generated commercial revenue; net loss was $618.2 million in 2025 and... Read more

$5.75+65.4% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#35 of 46 Aerospace & Defense
Stop $5.35Target $9.52(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.0:1
Analyst target$10.94+90.3%9 analysts
$9.52our TP
$5.75price
$10.94mean
$18

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.75: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 5.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-5.4
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA-3.3
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-41.8%
Rev Growth
Beta3.24
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV91%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-19Item 5.02LOW
    Tosha Perkins transitioning from Chief Administrative Officer to senior advisor effective April 17, 2026. No reason cited for role change; no successor named for CAO position.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -125479% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 5.7% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
2.9
Days To Cover
7.2
Put Call
10.0
High IV: 91%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
4.8
Support Resistance
4.9
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 5.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.00Resistance $6.49

Price Targets

$5
$10
A.Upside+65.6%
A.R:R5.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-11 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACHR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.75: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 5.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Prior stop was $5.35. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACHR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.52 (+65.4% upside). Prior stop was $5.35. Stop-loss: $5.35.

What are the risks of investing in ACHR?

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is ACHR overvalued or undervalued?

Archer Aviation Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACHR?

15 analysts cover ACHR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Archer Aviation Inc. do?Archer Aviation is developing the Midnight eVTOL aircraft for urban air taxi operations and a dual-use hybrid-electric...

Archer Aviation is developing the Midnight eVTOL aircraft for urban air taxi operations and a dual-use hybrid-electric VTOL aircraft for defense in partnership with Anduril Industries. The company has not yet generated commercial revenue; net loss was $618.2 million in 2025 and cumulative losses since inception are approximately $2.3 billion.

Related stocks: MOG-B (Moog Inc.) · LOAR (Loar Holdings Inc.) · TXT (Textron Inc.) · WWD (Woodward, Inc.) · BETA (Beta Technologies, Inc.)