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ZWSZurn Elkay Water Solutions CorpHold5.9·$49.16+0.31%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions delivers a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak, a maximum Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and 129% free cash flow conversion — but the stock has already reached its analyst price target with only 0.2% upside remaining, making the current entry a near-zero reward-to-risk proposition.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Fcf ConversionStable
  • Maximum Piotroski Score QualityStable
  • Analyst Target Exhausted Zero UpsideStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corp (ZWS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Pollution & Treatment Controls

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions designs and manufactures specification-driven water management products — valves, drainage, filtration, and hygienic fixtures — primarily for North American institutional and commercial construction markets. Products are distributed through... Read more

$49.16+3.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 6 Pollution & Treatment Controls
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.35%
IncomeYield0.90%(5y avg 0.87%)Payout32.52%sustainable
Stop $46.32Target $51.07(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$56.50+14.9%10 analysts
$51.07our TP
$49.16price
$56.50mean
$65

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.0
P/E (Fwd)25.5
Mkt Cap$8.2B
EV/EBITDA21.6
Profit Mgn12.3%
ROE13.3%
Rev Growth11.4%
Beta0.81
Dividend0.90%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV45%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerlargest customer18%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Company's largest customer accounted for 18%, 19% and 20% of consolidated net sales for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop five customers38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top five customers accounted for approximately 38% of our consolidated net sales, with one customer accounting for 18% of consolidated net sales'
  • MEDIUMCustomerthree largest independent distributors32%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our three largest independent distributors generated approximately 32% of our consolidated net sales with the largest accounting for 18% of consolidated net sales'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    David J. Pauli, CFO of Zurn Elkay since 2012, promoted to COO effective May 27, 2026, vacating the CFO role. No successor CFO identified in filing (body truncated). Pauli continues to report to CEO Todd Adams in the COO capacity.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-01Item 5.02LOW
    Sudhanshu Chhabra, Executive Vice President, Zurn Elkay Business Systems, transitioned to an advisory role effective April 30, 2026. No reason cited; no successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-01Item 5.07LOW
    Zurn Elkay held its 2026 Annual Meeting on April 30, 2026 with 167,542,304 shares eligible to vote. Shareholders elected three directors for three-year terms expiring 2029, approved executive compensation on advisory basis, and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as auditor for FY2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.0
Value Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
4.6
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=-0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $46.61Resistance $52.11

Price Targets

$46
$51
A.Upside+3.9%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.0% upside)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZWS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $51.07 (+3.9%), stop $46.32 (−6.1%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZWS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.07 (+3.9% upside). Target $51.07 (+3.9%), stop $46.32 (−6.1%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $46.32.

What are the risks of investing in ZWS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is ZWS overvalued or undervalued?

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corp trades at a P/E of 40.0 (forward 25.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ZWS?

15 analysts cover ZWS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corp do?Zurn Elkay Water Solutions designs and manufactures specification-driven water management products — valves, drainage,...

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions designs and manufactures specification-driven water management products — valves, drainage, filtration, and hygienic fixtures — primarily for North American institutional and commercial construction markets. Products are distributed through approximately 1,000 independent sales representatives and wholesalers; the largest single customer accounted for 18% of 2025 consolidated net sales. The company operates 21 principal manufacturing and warehouse facilities, primarily in North America.

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