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ZTSZoetis Inc.Sell5.7·$75.59+4.33%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Zoetis is a high-quality animal health business with 68% return on equity, 28% net margins, and a 3-for-4 earnings beat streak — but an extraordinary put-to-call ratio of 18.50, a confirmed death-cross technical pattern, and heavy concentration in companion animal products (70%) create a profile where the long-term quality case is strong but the near-term setup is unusually risky.

Thesis pillars

  • Top Decile Quality MetricsStable
  • Companion Animal Concentration 70pctStable
  • Extreme Put Call Ratio WarningStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Zoetis Inc. (ZTS) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (54.0%); Concentration risk — Product: companion animal products (70.0%).

Zoetis discovers and commercializes animal health medicines, vaccines, and diagnostics across eight species, organized into U.S. ($5,097 million, 54% of 2025 revenue) and International ($4,254 million, 45%) segments. Companion animal products — led by Simparica/Trio, Apoquel,... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.68%
IncomeYield2.83%(5y avg 0.95%)Payout33.28%sustainable
Stop $69.56Target $106.46(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 6.0:1
Analyst target$118.29+56.5%17 analysts
$106.46our TP
$75.59price
$118.29mean
$160

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (54.0%); Concentration risk — Product: companion animal products (70.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Zoetis Inc.

About Zoetis Inc.

Zoetis generated $5,097 million in U.S. revenue and $4,254 million in international revenue during fiscal 2025, representing 54% and 45% of consolidated sales respectively, with companion animal products contributing approximately 70% of total revenue. The five top-selling product lines — Simparica/Simparica Trio, Apoquel/Apoquel Chewable, Cytopoint, Librela, and the ceftiofur line — contributed 42% of 2025 revenue collectively, and the top ten product lines reached 57%. The company directly markets products in approximately 45 countries, with sales in more than 100 countries overall.

Zoetis sells through veterinarians and livestock producers via direct sales forces, with no single distributor named as dominant in the filing. Companion animal revenue, at 70% of total sales, is concentrated in three therapeutic categories: dermatology (Apoquel, Cytopoint), parasiticides (Simparica/Simparica Trio), and pain management (Librela, Solensia). Livestock revenue, at approximately 29% of total, includes $713 million in antibacterial sales in 2025, subject to use restrictions across the U.S., EU, U.K., China, and Vietnam. Multiple companies have launched generics against Rimadyl chewable and Draxxin; U.S. sales of Draxxin fell 66% since generic entry and Rimadyl chewable fell 39%, illustrating the loss-of-exclusivity risk embedded in the livestock portfolio. The company does not rely on a single distributor and markets products through veterinary practices, wholesalers, and internet-based retailers.

Show full overview

The top-five product line dependency represents the most concentrated earnings exposure: Simparica/Simparica Trio at 16% of 2025 revenue and Apoquel/Apoquel Chewable at 12% together account for 28%, with Cytopoint, Librela, and the ceftiofur line bringing the top-five total to 42%. The 10-K identifies safety concerns, manufacturing disruption, regulatory proceedings, or competing product introductions as risks that could have a more significant impact to results of operations for these specific lines. Any single adverse event in this product tier — safety labeling change, supply disruption, or accelerated generic entry — could materially shift reported earnings, making these franchises both the core revenue pillar and the primary concentration risk.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

From Zoetis Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (54.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: companion animal products (70.0%)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.3
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$31.4B
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn28.0%
ROE67.7%
Rev Growth2.9%
Beta0.75
Dividend2.83%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.23bearish
IV59%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States54%
    10-K Item 1: 'United States (U.S.) with revenue of $5,097 million, or 54% of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHProductcompanion animal products70%
    10-K Item 1: 'Companion animal products represented approximately 70% of our revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMProducttop five product lines42%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our five top-selling products and product lines...contributed approximately 42% of our revenue in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-22Item 5.02LOW
    Louise M. Parent retired from the Zoetis Board of Directors effective May 20, 2026, prior to the 2026 Annual Meeting, in accordance with the company's director retirement policy. No reason cited beyond policy compliance. No successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-22Item 5.07LOW
    Zoetis held its 2026 Annual Meeting on May 20, 2026 with 379,034,516 shares present (90.13% of voting power). Shareholders voted on five proposals as described in the April 8, 2026 proxy statement. Routine AGM; no contested matters noted.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.7
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Macd
9.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Earnings Growth
3.2
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 6.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $71.47Resistance $82.98

Price Targets

$70
$106
A.Upside+40.8%
A.R:R6.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (54.0%); Concentration risk — Product: companion animal products (70.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $69.56. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZTS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $106.46 (+42.3% upside). Prior stop was $69.56. Stop-loss: $69.56.

What are the risks of investing in ZTS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (54.0%); Concentration risk — Product: companion animal products (70.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5.

Is ZTS overvalued or undervalued?

Zoetis Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.3 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ZTS?

24 analysts cover ZTS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $118.

What does Zoetis Inc. do?Zoetis discovers and commercializes animal health medicines, vaccines, and diagnostics across eight species, organized...

Zoetis discovers and commercializes animal health medicines, vaccines, and diagnostics across eight species, organized into U.S. ($5,097 million, 54% of 2025 revenue) and International ($4,254 million, 45%) segments. Companion animal products — led by Simparica/Trio, Apoquel, Cytopoint, and Librela — drove approximately 70% of 2025 revenue, with the five top-selling lines collectively accounting for 42%.

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