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WFCWells Fargo & CompanySell5.4·$85.51-0.50%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Wells Fargo trades at an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 10.5x with 27% operating margins and positive analyst sentiment, but is blocked by a confirmed death cross, an elevated put/call ratio, regulatory concentration across two major overseers, and consecutive earnings misses — creating a picture of a value stock with significant execution risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Regulatory Concentration Two OverseersStable
  • Attractive Forward ValuationStable
  • Death Cross Momentum BreakdownStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Sell if holding. At $85.51, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve Board; Concentration risk — Regulatory: Office of the Comptroller of the Currency.

Wells Fargo & Company held approximately $2.1 trillion in assets and $1.4 trillion in deposits at December 31, 2025, ranking as the fourth largest U.S. bank holding company by assets. The company earns revenue across Consumer Banking and Lending, Commercial Banking, Corporate... Read more

$85.51+1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#16 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.11%(5y avg 2.14%)Payout27.05%sustainable
Stop $81.45Target $86.87(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$96.52+12.9%22 analysts
$86.87our TP
$85.51price
$96.52mean
$113

Sell if holding. At $85.51, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve Board; Concentration risk — Regulatory: Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Wells Fargo & Company

About Wells Fargo & Company

Wells Fargo & Company reported approximately $2.1 trillion in total assets, $986.2 billion in loans, and $1.4 trillion in deposits at December 31, 2025, ranking fourth among U.S. bank holding companies by assets. The company operates four reportable segments — Consumer Banking and Lending, Commercial Banking, Corporate and Investment Banking, and Wealth and Investment Management — employing approximately 205,000 people, with 76% based in the United States. The Federal Reserve Board serves as the parent company's primary regulator.

Wells Fargo earns revenue primarily through net interest income and fee income from consumer and commercial lending, mortgage banking, investment advisory, brokerage, and capital markets services. Consumer businesses span checking and savings accounts, credit and debit cards, and home, auto, personal, and small business lending. Commercial services include banking and credit products across multiple industry sectors, secured lending, treasury management, and commercial real estate. The 10-K identifies the company as one of the largest commercial and CRE lenders in the United States — a position that may produce elevated credit losses if economic conditions deteriorate and borrowers struggle with repayment. Wells Fargo Bank, N.A., the principal subsidiary, held $1.8 trillion in assets, or 85% of the consolidated company total, and is subject to OCC supervision. The company invested approximately $200 million in employee learning and development programs during 2025.

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Wells Fargo remains under two active regulatory enforcement actions. The FRB consent order dated February 2, 2018 — governing board-level governance and compliance risk management — was partially lifted on June 3, 2025, when the FRB removed its asset-growth cap; however, remaining provisions of the order are still in place. Separately, on September 12, 2024, Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. entered a formal agreement with the OCC requiring enhanced anti-money laundering and sanctions risk management practices. Both regulators retain authority to impose additional requirements or restrict the company's business activities if compliance obligations are not met.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

From Wells Fargo & Company's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Wells Fargo & Company

Generated 2026-07-06T06:30:28Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 14, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve Board
Concentration risk — Regulatory: Office of the Comptroller of the Currency
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.2
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$261.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn26.7%
ROE12.0%
Rev Growth5.7%
Beta0.92
Dividend2.11%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.04bearish
IV43%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryFederal Reserve Board
    10-K Item 1: 'The Parent is subject to regulation under the BHC Act and to inspection, examination and supervision by its primary regulator, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System'
  • HIGHregulatoryOffice of the Comptroller of the Currency
    10-K Item 1: 'Our subsidiary national banks, and their subsidiaries, are subject to regulation and examination primarily by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 5.02LOW
    Annual meeting held April 28, 2026. Item 5.02 concerns director/officer departure, election, or appointment; body truncated before details. Filed alongside Item 5.07 (stockholder vote results). Specific names and roles not available from truncated body.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.1
Support Resistance
2.1
52w Position
7.7
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $79.72Resistance $87.08

Price Targets

$81
$87
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.6% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-14 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WFC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $85.51, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve Board; Concentration risk — Regulatory: Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $81.45. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $86.87 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $81.45. Stop-loss: $81.45.

What are the risks of investing in WFC?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve Board; Concentration risk — Regulatory: Office of the Comptroller of the Currency; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is WFC overvalued or undervalued?

Wells Fargo & Company trades at a P/E of 13.2 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WFC?

29 analysts cover WFC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $97.

What does Wells Fargo & Company do?Wells Fargo & Company held approximately $2.1 trillion in assets and $1.4 trillion in deposits at December 31, 2025,...

Wells Fargo & Company held approximately $2.1 trillion in assets and $1.4 trillion in deposits at December 31, 2025, ranking as the fourth largest U.S. bank holding company by assets. The company earns revenue across Consumer Banking and Lending, Commercial Banking, Corporate and Investment Banking, and Wealth and Investment Management segments. Approximately 205,000 employees, with 76% U.S.-based.

Related stocks: CM (Canadian Imperial Bank of Comme) · C (Citigroup, Inc.) · BK (The Bank of New York Mellon Cor) · BNY (The Bank of New York Mellon Cor) · BMO (Bank Of Montreal)
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