Verra Mobility trades at $4.98 with a forward P/E of 4.8x and PEG ratio of 0.19, placing it in the attractively valued tier on nearly every metric, while a confirmed death cross, capitulation-level RSI near 18, and 136% implied volatility reflect a stock in acute technical distress that must stabilize before the value thesis can be realized.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Multiples↓Deteriorating
- Return On Equity Quality↓Deteriorating
- Death Cross Capitulation Signal↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $4.70 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -16.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $4.70 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -16.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — Verra Mobility Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Verra Mobility stock surges 25% on Avis Budget deal - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS Verra Mobility: New Avis Contract Is Better Than Nothing; It Should Help The Shares (VRRM) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Shares Gap Up - Time to Buy? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Shares Gap Up - Time to Buy? - marketbeat.com — marketbeat.com positive
- NEWS Levi & Korsinsky Reminds Verra Mobility Investors of the Pending Class Action Lawsuit With a Lead Plaintiff Deadline of — PR Newswire negative
Generated 2026-08-15T09:37:17Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerNYCDOT18%10-K Item 1A: 'NYCDOT represented approximately 17.9% and 15.8% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- MEDIUMCustomertop-3 Commercial Services customers35%10-K Item 1A: 'Three of our Commercial Services customers collectively accounted for 34.8% and 36.0% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUMDavid Roberts departed as President and CEO effective May 31, 2026. Jonathan Keyser (age 44, EVP/Chief Transformation Officer since 2025, Chief Legal Officer since Dec 2022) appointed Interim President and CEO. No reason cited for Roberts' departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $4.70 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -16.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $4.39. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $8.70 (+84.3% upside). Prior stop was $4.39. Stop-loss: $4.39.
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -16.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Verra Mobility Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.2 (forward 5.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover VRRM with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $10.
What does Verra Mobility Corporation do?Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through...
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet operators, and government agencies in the U.S., Australia, Europe, and Canada, with 1,901 employees at December 31, 2025.