Verra Mobility trades at $4.98 with a forward P/E of 4.8x and PEG ratio of 0.19, placing it in the attractively valued tier on nearly every metric, while a confirmed death cross, capitulation-level RSI near 18, and 136% implied volatility reflect a stock in acute technical distress that must stabilize before the value thesis can be realized.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Multiples→Stable
- Return On Equity Quality→Stable
- Death Cross Capitulation Signal→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge
Technology · Information Technology Services
Wait for pullback to $4.27. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $4.38. Engine's entry $4.27 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet... Read more
Wait for pullback to $4.27. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $4.38. Engine's entry $4.27 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.4 < 4.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (3.4) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/10 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=technology 7/10). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Verra Mobility Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Verra Mobility (VRRM) Projected to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Earnings call transcript: Verra Mobility Q1 2026 beats EPS forecast, stock rises By Investing.com - Investing.com India — Investing.com India positive
- NEWS Earnings call transcript: Verra Mobility Q1 2026 beats EPS forecast, stock rises - Investing.com UK — Investing.com UK positive
- NEWS Verra Mobility Corporation 2026 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:VRRM) 2026-05-06 - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Posts Q1 CY2026 Sales In Line With Estimates - StockStory — StockStory positive
Generated 2026-07-06T06:00:35Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerNYCDOT18%10-K Item 1A: 'NYCDOT represented approximately 17.9% and 15.8% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- MEDIUMCustomertop-3 Commercial Services customers35%10-K Item 1A: 'Three of our Commercial Services customers collectively accounted for 34.8% and 36.0% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUMDavid Roberts departed as President and CEO effective May 31, 2026. Jonathan Keyser (age 44, EVP/Chief Transformation Officer since 2025, Chief Legal Officer since Dec 2022) appointed Interim President and CEO. No reason cited for Roberts' departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $4.27. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $4.38. Engine's entry $4.27 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.4 < 4.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (3.4) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Target $8.45 (+92.9%), stop $4.00 (−9.5%), A.R:R 6.8:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $8.45 (+97.9% upside). Target $8.45 (+92.9%), stop $4.00 (−9.5%), A.R:R 6.8:1. Stop-loss: $4.00.
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum.
Verra Mobility Corporation trades at a P/E of 5.2 (forward 4.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
13 analysts cover VRRM with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $10.
What does Verra Mobility Corporation do?Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through...
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet operators, and government agencies in the U.S., Australia, Europe, and Canada, with 1,901 employees at December 31, 2025.