Verra Mobility trades at $4.98 with a forward P/E of 4.8x and PEG ratio of 0.19, placing it in the attractively valued tier on nearly every metric, while a confirmed death cross, capitulation-level RSI near 18, and 136% implied volatility reflect a stock in acute technical distress that must stabilize before the value thesis can be realized.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Multiples→Stable
- Return On Equity Quality→Stable
- Death Cross Capitulation Signal↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $4.05 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -15.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $4.05 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -15.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 40. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Verra Mobility Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Verra Mobility (VRRM) Projected to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Deadline Alert: Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) - GlobeNewswire — GlobeNewswire negative
- NEWS VRRM Q1 2026 Earnings: EPS Beats Estimates, Stock Slides Slightly - Weak Earnings Momentum - dars.gov.et — dars.gov.et positive
- NEWS VRRM Q1 2026 Earnings: EPS Beats Estimates, Stock Slides Slightly - Product Revenue Analysis - dars.gov.et — dars.gov.et positive
- NEWS VRRM Q1 2026 Earnings: EPS Beats Estimates, Stock Slides Slightly - Adjusted Earnings Analysis - dars.gov.et — dars.gov.et positive
Generated 2026-07-26T08:08:27Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerNYCDOT18%10-K Item 1A: 'NYCDOT represented approximately 17.9% and 15.8% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- MEDIUMCustomertop-3 Commercial Services customers35%10-K Item 1A: 'Three of our Commercial Services customers collectively accounted for 34.8% and 36.0% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUMDavid Roberts departed as President and CEO effective May 31, 2026. Jonathan Keyser (age 44, EVP/Chief Transformation Officer since 2025, Chief Legal Officer since Dec 2022) appointed Interim President and CEO. No reason cited for Roberts' departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $4.05 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -15.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 40. Prior stop was $3.77. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $8.58 (+111.7% upside). Prior stop was $3.77. Stop-loss: $3.77.
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -15.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Verra Mobility Corporation trades at a P/E of 4.8 (forward 4.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover VRRM with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $10.
What does Verra Mobility Corporation do?Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through...
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet operators, and government agencies in the U.S., Australia, Europe, and Canada, with 1,901 employees at December 31, 2025.