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VREXVarex Imaging CorporationSell5.6·$18.48-0.11%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Varex Imaging offers a statistically high-asymmetry setup (4.46 ratio, 47.6% modeled upside) riding a strong earnings beat streak, but a death-cross hard block, a quality score below the engine's floor, and thinly covered analyst sentiment keep the setup speculative.

Thesis pillars

  • High Asymmetry Earnings Catalyst SetupImproving
  • Quality Below Floor On Cash BurnImproving
  • Death Cross Hard Block Despite Recovery SignsImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Varex Imaging Corporation (VREX) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.48: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Varex Imaging designs and manufactures X-ray imaging components — X-ray tubes, flat panel and photon-counting detectors, linear accelerators, and imaging software — sold to OEM customers through its Medical and Industrial segments, with about 2,400 employees across North... Read more

$18.48-19.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#29 of 59 Medical Devices
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-5.07%
Stop $17.19Target $21.26(default +15%)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$17.48-5.4%4 analysts
$21.26our TP
$18.48price
$17.48mean
$12
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.48: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 95d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Varex Imaging Corporation

About Varex Imaging Corporation

Varex Imaging's largest customer, Canon Medical Systems, accounted for 18% of fiscal 2025 revenue, while its ten largest customers together made up roughly 52%. The company employs approximately 2,400 people across manufacturing and engineering sites in North America, Europe, and Asia, split between Medical and Industrial segments that design, build, and service X-ray tubes, detectors, and imaging systems.

Varex sells X-ray tubes, flat panel and photon counting detectors, linear accelerators, and imaging software primarily to OEM customers that design the components into medical, security, and industrial inspection systems, then depends on replacement and service revenue as tubes and detectors wear out — CT tubes typically every 2 to 6 years, and as often as every 10 to 20 months in China given high equipment utilization. The company competes against in-house X-ray tube production at major diagnostic imaging companies such as Canon and Philips Healthcare, as well as against detector makers including Trixell, Vieworks, Hamamatsu, and iRay Technology. Manufacturing spans eight countries, including the United States, Germany, and the Philippines, with certain components — transistor arrays and cesium iodide coatings for digital detectors, and specialized X-ray tube targets among them — sourced from a limited group of suppliers or a single source. Revenue from customers outside the United States made up 70% of total fiscal 2025 revenue.

Show full overview

Varex's China exposure illustrates a risk distinct from customer concentration: medical X-ray tubes imported into China made up 10% of total revenue in fiscal 2025, and in April 2025 China's Ministry of Commerce opened MOFCOM investigations into US-origin CT X-ray tubes and tube inserts, before suspending both indefinitely in November 2025. Should the investigations resume and result in new tariffs, Varex has cautioned that its export prices to China may no longer compete with local manufacturers. The company also holds joint-venture stakes — including a 40% interest in dpiX, its amorphous-silicon detector-array supplier, and a 75% stake in Varex Imaging Arabia — that have drawn shareholder disputes and litigation in Germany since 2023.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From Varex Imaging Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14

Recent Developments — Varex Imaging Corporation

Generated 2026-08-14T16:37:44Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 17, 202695d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-19.6% upside)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.9
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$780M
EV/EBITDA10.8
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE4.6%
Rev Growth3.7%
Beta0.88
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.2
Bollinger
0.9
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 95d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
94 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.44Resistance $18.63

Price Targets

$17
$21
A.Upside-19.6%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-17 (95d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VREX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.48: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $17.19. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VREX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.26 (-19.6% upside). Prior stop was $17.19. Stop-loss: $17.19.

What are the risks of investing in VREX?

Target reached (-19.6% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is VREX overvalued or undervalued?

Varex Imaging Corporation trades at a P/E of 34.9 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VREX?

11 analysts cover VREX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Varex Imaging Corporation do?Varex Imaging designs and manufactures X-ray imaging components — X-ray tubes, flat panel and photon-counting...

Varex Imaging designs and manufactures X-ray imaging components — X-ray tubes, flat panel and photon-counting detectors, linear accelerators, and imaging software — sold to OEM customers through its Medical and Industrial segments, with about 2,400 employees across North America, Europe, and Asia. The company's largest customer, Canon Medical Systems, accounted for 18% of fiscal 2025 revenue, and its ten largest customers together made up roughly 52%. Long design-in relationships with OEMs, some spanning over 35 years, create switching costs that favor Varex's incumbency in replacement compone

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