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VINPVinci Compass Investments Ltd.Sell6.6·$9.91+0.71%
VINP · Why this verdict

Why Vinci Compass Investments (VINP) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score6.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

9.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E8.4
P/S9.9
EV/EBITDA10.0
Fwd P/E9.5
PEG10.0
Analyst target7.5
  • Forward P/E: 8.4x
  • PEG: 0.11
  • Attractively valued

Quality

7.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE4.6
ROA3.2
Gross margin10.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio7.9
FCF quality4.4
Moat7.6
Rule of 405.5
Piotroski F8.9
  • Strong margins: 26%
  • Earnings quality warning: 56% FCF/NI
  • Wide economic moat
  • Compounder quality: strong returns + growth

Growth

8.4/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth6.8
EPS growth10.0

Momentum

5.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD6.7
OBV10.0
MA position5.2
Volume0.0
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Sentiment

7.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating7.6
Price target9.2
erm sentiment5.0
  • Light analyst coverage (6.0) — signal dampened
  • Analyst upside: 40%

Insider

3.0/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality2.0
insider conviction2.0
holder change5.0
  • Heavy insider selling — $5,824,338 (0.897% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.2/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank7.0
quality rank5.6
growth rank8.2
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

4.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger2.9
support resistance6.5
52w position5.0

Risk (lower is worse)

7.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.3
days to cover6.5
volatility2.8
put call10.0
beta10.0
debt equity8.0

Catalyst

2.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history0.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg0.0
dividend safety4.2
  • Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
  • Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier -1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:5.3>=4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:2.8>=1.5
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:39d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • INSIDER:0.90%=EXTREME
Warning (1)
  • MOMENTUM:5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
2.81
Upside
+21.9%
Downside
7.8%
Sizing output
AVOID

Setup No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeInst Constrain Small cap ($0.6B) below institutional reach

SuitabilityAggressive MCap $0.6B<$5B

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:5.3>=4.5. Top dim: Value at 9.2; weakest: Catalyst at 2.8. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.2, Growth at 8.4, and Risk (lower is worse) at 7.8; the weakest are Catalyst at 2.8, Insider at 3.0, and Technical at 4.8. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.81 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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