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VICRVicor CorporationHold5.5·$291.30-16.82%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Vicor Corporation has beaten earnings estimates in all four recent quarters with an average positive surprise of 354%, generates 32% net margins, and holds a wide economic moat in high-density power electronics, but the stock trades at a rich forward price-to-earnings of 58x, has reached the analyst target, and the risk-reward asymmetry is currently negative.

Thesis pillars

  • Rich Valuation Target ReachedStable
  • Product Supplier Dual ConcentrationStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Wide MoatStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Vicor Corporation (VICR) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $291.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (61.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single vendor.

Vicor Corporation designs and manufactures modular power components in two categories: Advanced Products (61% of 2025 net revenues), targeting data center and AI GPU applications via its Factorized Power Architecture, and Brick Products (39%), serving aerospace, defense, and... Read more

$291.30+22.0% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#9 of 29 Electronic Components
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.07%
Stop $263.14Target $345.31(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$406.25+39.5%4 analysts
$345.31our TP
$291.30price
$406.25mean
$450

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $291.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (61.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single vendor. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Vicor Corporation

About Vicor Corporation

Advanced Products drove 61.0% of Vicor Corporation's consolidated total net revenues in fiscal 2025, up from 55.0% in 2024, as adoption of the company's Factorized Power Architecture accelerated in hyperscaler data center applications. Brick Products contributed the remaining 39.0%. Order backlog was approximately $176.9 million as of December 31, 2025, compared to $155.5 million a year earlier. Exports to China and Hong Kong reached approximately $48.3 million, or 11.9% of 2025 total net revenues, concentrated in Brick Products for industrial and rail applications.

Vicor sells power components through a direct sales force, independent non-stocking distributors in Europe and Asia, and four authorized stocking distributors worldwide: Arrow Electronics, Digi-Key Corporation, Avnet Electronics, and Mouser Electronics. Advanced Products target hyperscalers, OEMs, and contract manufacturers in data centers, using the Factorized Power Architecture — which separates power conversion into discrete modules, reducing thermal losses and enabling power delivery directly to GPUs and AI accelerators at up to 1,200A peak current. Brick Products serve aerospace, defense, industrial equipment, and transportation markets, competing with a fragmented mix of large global commodity suppliers and smaller regional producers. The company manufactures the majority of its products at a single facility in Andover, Massachusetts, with electroplating operations recently brought in-house. Section 301 Tariffs totaled approximately $7.4 million in 2025, representing roughly 1.8% of annual net revenues; the company added a 10% tariff surcharge on product pricing in the second half of 2025.

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Customer dependency in the Advanced Products segment is the most directly cited risk in the 10-K: since the introduction of Advanced Products, the company has derived the majority of Advanced Products revenue from either one customer or a limited number of customers. Several product lines also depend on raw materials from a limited number of vendors and, in some instances, a single vendor. Unanticipated delays in purchase orders from large customers have produced lower-than-expected revenue in prior periods, and the 10-K notes that this strategic focus on fewer, higher-volume OEM accounts has caused a relative few such customers to disproportionately influence operating results.

See also: Technology · Electronic Components

From Vicor Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Vicor Corporation

Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:27Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202618d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (61.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single vendor
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)94.3
P/E (Fwd)50.2
Mkt Cap$12.9B
EV/EBITDA156.1
Profit Mgn32.0%
ROE20.5%
Rev Growth20.2%
Beta2.36
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.69bullish
IV120%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicChina and Hong Kong12%
    10-K Item 1: 'exports to China and Hong Kong were approximately $48,347,000, representing approximately 11.9% of total net revenues'
  • HIGHProductAdvanced Products61%
    10-K Item 1: 'Annual revenue associated with the sale of Advanced Products which includes royalty revenue, was approximately 61.0% ... of the Company's consolidated total net revenues'
  • MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company has derived the majority of its revenue from Advanced Products in any given year from either one customer or a limited number of customers'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle vendor
    10-K Item 1A: 'Many of our products require raw materials supplied by a limited number of vendors and, in some instances, a single vendor.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.9
Obv
5.2
Rsi
5.5
Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5INSIDER 1.31%=HEAVYA.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 18d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $258.91Resistance $382.65

Price Targets

$263
$345
A.Upside+18.5%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 1.31%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (18d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VICR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $291.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (61.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single vendor. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $345.31 (+18.5%), stop $263.14 (−10.7%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VICR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $345.31 (+22.0% upside). Target $345.31 (+18.5%), stop $263.14 (−10.7%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $263.14.

What are the risks of investing in VICR?

Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (61.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single vendor; Negative momentum.

Is VICR overvalued or undervalued?

Vicor Corporation trades at a P/E of 94.3 (forward 50.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about VICR?

10 analysts cover VICR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $406.

What does Vicor Corporation do?Vicor Corporation designs and manufactures modular power components in two categories: Advanced Products (61% of 2025...

Vicor Corporation designs and manufactures modular power components in two categories: Advanced Products (61% of 2025 net revenues), targeting data center and AI GPU applications via its Factorized Power Architecture, and Brick Products (39%), serving aerospace, defense, and industrial markets. Manufacturing is concentrated at a single facility in Andover, Massachusetts; products reach customers through a direct sales force and four authorized global distributors.

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