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UUUUEnergy Fuels IncSell5.0·$13.81-2.88%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Energy Fuels has delivered 112% year-over-year revenue growth and analyst consensus targets imply 42% upside from the current $15.64, but the company has missed earnings estimates in all 4 of its last quarters, burns cash at 95% of revenue, and carries a quality score below the minimum investable threshold.

Thesis pillars

  • Uranium Revenue GrowthStable
  • Analyst Upside PotentialStable
  • Cash Burn Quality DeficitStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Energy Fuels Inc (UUUU) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Uranium

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.81: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Energy Fuels Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, recovery, recycling, exploration, operation, development, permitting, evaluation, and sale of uranium mineral properties in the United States. It operates through three segments: Uranium, REE, and... Read more

$13.81+60.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#4 of 9 Uranium
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-2.33%
Stop $13.16Target $22.21(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$26.13+89.2%4 analysts
$22.21our TP
$13.81price
$26.13mean
$33

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.81: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)41.8
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA-39.7
Profit Mgn-82.7%
ROE-10.8%
Rev Growth112.1%
Beta1.58
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV85%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-15Item 5.02MEDIUM
    David Frydenlund transitioned from Chief Legal Officer to EVP Strategic Acquisitions and Special Counsel to CEO, in connection with planned retirement in October 2026. Nathan Longenecker appointed Chief Legal Officer and EVP Global Government Relations as successor.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02LOW
    Directors J. Birks Bovaird and Morrison notified the company they would not seek re-election to the board. No disagreement with company operations, policies, or practices cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
2.9
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Cash-burning: FCF -95% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.7
Growth Rank
7.5

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Macd
4.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.57Resistance $18.06

Price Targets

$13
$22
A.Upside+60.8%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UUUU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.81: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $13.16. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UUUU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.21 (+60.8% upside). Prior stop was $13.16. Stop-loss: $13.16.

What are the risks of investing in UUUU?

Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is UUUU overvalued or undervalued?

Energy Fuels Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 41.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UUUU?

11 analysts cover UUUU with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Energy Fuels Inc do?Energy Fuels Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, recovery, recycling, exploration,...

Energy Fuels Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, recovery, recycling, exploration, operation, development, permitting, evaluation, and sale of uranium mineral properties in the United States. It operates through three segments: Uranium, REE, and HMS. It produces and sells vanadium pentoxide, rare earth elements, carbonate, and heavy mineral sands, such as ilmenite, rutile, zircon, and monazite. The company was formerly known as Volcanic Metals Exploration Inc. and changed its name to Energy Fuels Inc. in May 2006. Energy Fuels Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.

Related stocks: URG (Ur Energy Inc) · LEU (Centrus Energy Corp.) · UEC (Uranium Energy Corp.) · UROY (Uranium Royalty Corp.) · NXE (Nexgen Energy Ltd.)
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