Skip to main content
UROYUranium Royalty Corp.Hold5.7·$4.09+0.49%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Uranium Royalty Corp carries a 3-of-4 earnings beat streak and an asymmetric 2.78x risk/reward setup heading into its next report, but a forward P/E of 199x flagged as a cyclical trap, an elevated 5.86 put/call ratio, and a still-below-200-MA technical picture temper the setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak CatalystStable
  • Cyclical Peak Earnings Decline RiskDeteriorating
  • Elevated Put Call Hedging RiskDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Uranium Royalty Corp. (UROY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Uranium

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~83% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a uranium and land royalty company in Canada. It engages in acquiring and assembling a portfolio of royalties; investing in companies with exposure to uranium and physical uranium; and the purchase and sale of physical uranium. The company was... Read more

$4.09-14.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#1 of 9 Uranium
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield10.93%
Stop $3.81Target $4.17(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$4.12+0.7%3 analysts
$4.17our TP
$4.09price
$4.12mean
$4
$5

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~83% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 89. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 10, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Outperforming peers
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~83% (cyclical peak)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.0
P/E (Fwd)80.9
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA6.7
Profit Mgn21.5%
ROE15.3%
Rev Growth4342.6%
Beta1.40
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.83bearish
IV94%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.0
Bollinger
2.0
52w Position
4.8

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe
1.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
4.6
Ev Ebitda
7.8
Pe
8.2
Forward P/E: 80.9x
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
89 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.56Resistance $4.26

Price Targets

$4
$4
A.Upside-14.5%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 81x vs trail 14x (5.8x)
! Target reached (-14.5% upside)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-10 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UROY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~83% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 89. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $4.17 (+2.0%), stop $3.81 (−7.3%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UROY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.17 (-14.5% upside). Target $4.17 (+2.0%), stop $3.81 (−7.3%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $3.81.

What are the risks of investing in UROY?

Earnings expected to decline ~83% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Is UROY overvalued or undervalued?

Uranium Royalty Corp. trades at a P/E of 14.0 (forward 80.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about UROY?

8 analysts cover UROY with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $4.

What does Uranium Royalty Corp. do?Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a uranium and land royalty company in Canada. It engages in acquiring and assembling...

Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a uranium and land royalty company in Canada. It engages in acquiring and assembling a portfolio of royalties; investing in companies with exposure to uranium and physical uranium; and the purchase and sale of physical uranium. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Lakewood, Colorado.

Related stocks: UUUU (Energy Fuels Inc) · UEC (Uranium Energy Corp.) · LEU (Centrus Energy Corp.) · URG (Ur Energy Inc) · ISOU (IsoEnergy Ltd.)
Home Stocks UROY

Latest news

Latest News

Investing.com16d agoAnalyst
Dars.gov.et23d ago
SightLine | U30824d agoMerger Acquisition
Investing.com UK25d agoMerger Acquisition
Dars.gov.et22d ago
Investing News Network22d ago
Investing.com UK29d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat29d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat29d agoAnalyst
PR Newswire18d agoMerger Acquisition
TradingKey18d ago
TradingKey18d ago
Sekbernews.id18d ago
TradingKey18d ago
Yahoo Finance18d ago
TradingKey18d ago
TradingView18d ago
MarketBeat18d ago
TradingKey18d ago