Skip to main content
UBSUBS Group AG RegisteredSell5.8·$51.74+0.37%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

UBS Group offers attractive valuation at 12x forward earnings with a PEG of 0.90 and rising on-balance volume above its 200-day moving average, but having already exceeded its analyst price target by 15.5%, the stock offers no near-term asymmetric entry point.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation 12x ForwardStable
  • Above 200 Day Volume AccumulationDeteriorating
  • Piotroski 7 Strong MarginsStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

UBS Group AG Registered (UBS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Earnings in 4 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.74 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

UBS Group AG operates as a wealth manager and bank worldwide. It operates through five segments: Global Wealth Management, Personal & Corporate Banking, Asset Management, Investment Bank, and Non-Core and Legacy. The Global Wealth Management segment offers financial services,... Read more

$51.74-14.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#7 of 19 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.13%(5y avg 2.14%)Payout32.26%sustainable
Stop $49.56Target $54.05(resistance)A.R:R -2.7:1
Analyst target$52.20+0.9%3 analysts
$54.05our TP
$51.74price
$52.20mean
$44
$63

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.74 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.5
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$169.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn17.8%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth13.8%
Beta0.83
Dividend2.13%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C6.13bearish
IV39%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -2.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $48.99Resistance $55.15

Price Targets

$50
$54
A.Upside-14.2%
A.R:R-2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UBS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.74 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $49.56. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UBS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $54.05 (-14.2% upside). Prior stop was $49.56. Stop-loss: $49.56.

What are the risks of investing in UBS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is UBS overvalued or undervalued?

UBS Group AG Registered trades at a P/E of 18.5 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UBS?

25 analysts cover UBS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $52.

What does UBS Group AG Registered do?UBS Group AG operates as a wealth manager and bank worldwide. It operates through five segments: Global Wealth...

UBS Group AG operates as a wealth manager and bank worldwide. It operates through five segments: Global Wealth Management, Personal & Corporate Banking, Asset Management, Investment Bank, and Non-Core and Legacy. The Global Wealth Management segment offers financial services, advice, and solutions; investment management, estate planning, and corporate advice services; and wealth management and banking products and services to private wealth and institutional customers. Its Personal & Corporate Banking segment provides banking, retirement, financing, investments, and strategic transactions to private, corporate, and institutional customers through its branch network and digital channels in Switzerland. The Asset Management segment offers diversified asset management services. Its Investment Bank segment provides equities, foreign exchange, precious metals, research, advisory, and capital markets services to institutional, corporate, financial sponsor, and Global Wealth Management customers, as well as focused rates and credit platform. The company also offers lending products, such as securities-based lending, mortgages, structured products, and tailored solutions; collateralized lending residential and commercial real estate, primarily against securities, residential and commercial real estate, other real assets (such as ships and aircraft), private market and hedge fund interest; and unsecured lending. The company was formerly known as UBS AG and changed its name to UBS Group AG in December 2014. UBS Group AG was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

Related stocks: JPM (JP Morgan Chase & Co.) · BAC (Bank of America Corporation) · C (Citigroup, Inc.) · BNY (The Bank of New York Mellon Cor) · WFC (Wells Fargo & Company)
Home Stocks UBS

Latest news

Latest News

Marketscreener.com88d ago
Yahoo Finance32d ago
CNBC32d ago
Investing.com32d agoAnalyst
Kalkine32d ago
Kalkine32d ago
Kalkine32d ago
The Globe and Mail32d ago
Reuters95d ago
Thestreet.com95d agoAnalyst
AASTOCKS.com95d ago
MarketBeat89d ago
MarketBeat89d ago
Investing.com33d agoAnalyst
Investing.com33d agoAnalyst
Investing.com33d agoAnalyst
Kalkine33d ago
Kalkine33d ago
CNBC95d ago
Investing.com31d agoAnalyst
Loading more...