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TXNTexas Instruments IncorporatedBuy Wait5.7·$312.38+3.74%
TXN · Why this verdict

Why Texas Instruments (TXN) is rated BUY WAIT

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

2.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E2.4
P/S0.1
EV/EBITDA0.0
Fwd P/E3.6
PEG5.3
Analyst target3.0
  • Forward P/E: 32.0x
  • PEG: 1.44
  • Expensive valuation

Quality

8.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE10.0
ROA8.1
Gross margin7.5
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio8.5
FCF quality1.6
Moat7.5
Piotroski F8.9
  • Excellent ROE: 32%
  • Strong margins: 29%
  • Earnings quality RED FLAG: 20% FCF/NI
  • Wide economic moat

Growth

7.8/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth7.2
EPS growth8.3

Momentum

4.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD0.0
OBV10.0
MA position9.0
Volume0.0
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

5.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment5.0
Analyst rating7.5
Price target4.0

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.3/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank4.9
quality rank8.3
growth rank4.1
  • Superior ROE vs peers
  • Best-in-class margins

Technical

5.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger2.8
support resistance3.3
52w position8.8
gap5.0

Risk (lower is worse)

6.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest8.8
days to cover8.4
volatility1.3
put call10.0
implied vol4.0
max pain risk7.0
beta5.8
debt equity6.0
  • Concentration risks: 2 MED (10-K Item 1A)

Catalyst

6.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm6.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg7.0
dividend safety3.5
news activity8.0
  • Perfect beat streak: 4Q
  • Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.44, quality 8.0/10, growth 7.8/10).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_C2_GARP_WAIT|ENTRY_STICKY:WITHIN_BAND
Passed (6)
  • MOMENTUM:4.9>=4.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:37d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:-1.1=NEGATIVE
Warning (2)
  • MOMENTUM:4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
  • 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
-1.15
Upside
-14.1%
Downside
12.3%
Sizing output
STARTER

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE Beta 1.31>1.3

Investment implication

The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 8.0 and growth 7.8 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of -1.15 supporting the read.

The strongest dimensions are Quality at 8.0, Growth at 7.8, and Catalyst at 6.6; the weakest are Value at 2.7, Peer rank at 4.3, and Momentum at 4.9. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.15 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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