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TVGrupo Televisa S.A.B.Sell5.2·$2.64-1.49%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Grupo Televisa is extremely cheap at a forward P/E of 7.9x with a PEG near zero and strong price momentum above its 200-day moving average, but below-floor business quality, 2 of 4 earnings misses, and declining revenue in the core media business offset the valuation appeal.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Valuation DiscountStable
  • Positive Technical MomentumStable
  • Earnings Volatility RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Grupo Televisa S.A.B. (TV) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.64: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cable networks and direct-to-home system businesses with Residential, Satellite, and Enterprise categories in Mexico and internationally. It operates through Cable and Sky segments. The company offers basic... Read more

$2.64+26.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#26 of 46 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield172.85%
IncomeYield3.41%(5y avg 2.71%)Payout0.23%sustainable
Stop $2.51Target $3.33(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$3.82+44.8%9 analysts
$3.33our TP
$2.64price
$3.82mean
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.64: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Grupo Televisa S.A.B.

Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:27Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.8
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA3.0
Profit Mgn-14.5%
ROE-7.6%
Rev Growth-3.1%
Beta1.04
Dividend3.41%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C10.00bearish
IV80%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.4
Rsi
3.5
Macd
3.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.6
Quality Rank
1.9
Value Rank
8.8

Unprofitable operations — net margin -14.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.0
Moat
3.2
Gross Margin
3.7
Operating Margin
4.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
8.2
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.59Resistance $3.08

Price Targets

$3
$3
A.Upside+26.1%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.64: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $2.51. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.33 (+26.1% upside). Prior stop was $2.51. Stop-loss: $2.51.

What are the risks of investing in TV?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is TV overvalued or undervalued?

Grupo Televisa S.A.B. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TV?

13 analysts cover TV with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $4.

What does Grupo Televisa S.A.B. do?Grupo Televisa, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cable networks and direct-to-home system...

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cable networks and direct-to-home system businesses with Residential, Satellite, and Enterprise categories in Mexico and internationally. It operates through Cable and Sky segments. The company offers basic and premium television subscription, pay-per-view, installation, internet subscription, and telephone and mobile services subscription, as well as local and national advertising services; and data and long-distance services solutions to carriers and other telecommunications service providers through its fiber-optic network. It also provides direct-to-home broadcast satellite pay television services comprising program, installation, and equipment rental services to subscribers; and national advertising sales. Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

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