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TVGrupo Televisa S.A.B.Sell5.5·$2.30
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Grupo Televisa is extremely cheap at a forward P/E of 7.9x with a PEG near zero and strong price momentum above its 200-day moving average, but below-floor business quality, 2 of 4 earnings misses, and declining revenue in the core media business offset the valuation appeal.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Valuation Discount↑Improving
  • Positive Technical Momentum↑Improving
  • Earnings Volatility Risk↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Grupo Televisa S.A.B. (TV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.30: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.88; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cable networks and direct-to-home system businesses with Residential, Satellite, and Enterprise categories in Mexico and internationally. It operates through Cable and Sky segments. The company offers basic... Read more

$2.30+43.0% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#21 of 41 Telecom Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield203.67%
Stop $2.14Analyst target $3.29(−13% haircut)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst consensus$3.78+64.3%8 analysts with price targets
$3.29Analyst target
$2.30price
$3.78mean
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.30: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.88; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 112d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 5, 2026

Recent Developments — Grupo Televisa S.A.B.

Latest item Nov 5, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 25, 2027112d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-8.0% YoY), Material insider selling (9 sells, 0.12% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA2.7
Profit Mgn-11.5%
ROE-5.6%
Rev Growth-3.8%
Beta0.99
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.88bearish
IV146%elevated
Max Pain$2-13.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -11.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.0
Operating Margin
1.9
Gross Margin
3.7
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
7.2
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 112d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.01Resistance $2.52

Price Targets

$2
$3
A.Upside+43.0%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-8.0% YoY), Material insider selling (9 sells, 0.12% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-25 (112d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.30: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.88; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $2.14. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TV stock price target?

Analyst target: $3.29 (+43.0% upside). Prior stop was $2.14. Stop-loss: $2.14.

What are the risks of investing in TV?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-8.0% YoY), Material insider selling (9 sells, 0.12% of cap).

Is TV overvalued or undervalued?

Grupo Televisa S.A.B. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TV?

11 analysts rate TV, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 8 analysts publish price targets averaging $4.

What does Grupo Televisa S.A.B. do?Grupo Televisa, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cable networks and direct-to-home system...

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cable networks and direct-to-home system businesses with Residential, Satellite, and Enterprise categories in Mexico and internationally. It operates through Cable and Sky segments. The company offers basic and premium television subscription, pay-per-view, installation, internet subscription, and telephone and mobile services subscription, as well as local and national advertising services; and data and long-distance services solutions to carriers and other telecommunications service providers through its fiber-optic network. It also provides direct-to-home broadcast satellite pay television services comprising program, installation, and equipment rental services to subscribers; and national advertising sales. Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

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