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TLXTelix Pharmaceuticals LimitedSell6.5·$10.25-2.47%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Telix Pharmaceuticals is growing revenue 49% year-over-year with analyst consensus implying 86% upside to $17.77 and high asymmetry of 9.7, but the quality score of 2.6 is deeply below the investment floor and the company is cash-flow negative, making this a speculative recovery story.

Thesis pillars

  • High Asymmetry Analyst UpsideStable
  • Rapid Revenue GrowthStable
  • Quality Below Floor Cash BurnStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited (TLX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.25: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.5/10 and A.R:R 9.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutic and diagnostic radiopharmaceuticals. The company operates through three segments: Precision Medicine, Therapeutics, and Manufacturing... Read more

$10.25+74.1% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#19 of 254 Biotechnology
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-1.06%
Stop $9.86Target $17.79(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 9.2:1
Analyst target$20.93+104.2%4 analysts
$17.79our TP
$10.25price
$20.93mean
$22

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.25: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.5/10 and A.R:R 9.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)50.8
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA116.7
Profit Mgn-0.9%
ROE-1.9%
Rev Growth49.3%
Beta0.63
DividendNone
Rating analysts4

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Clinical-stage biotech: losses expected pre-commercialisation. Quality floor doesn't distinguish R&D investment from operational decay — components above tell the real story.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.8
Operating Margin
0.8
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.3
Gross Margin
5.5
Piotroski F
5.6
Cash-burning: FCF -5% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.1
Macd
0.7
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 28)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 9.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.17Resistance $12.23

Price Targets

$10
$18
A.Upside+74.1%
A.R:R9.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for TLX.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TLX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.25: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.5/10 and A.R:R 9.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.86. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TLX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.79 (+74.1% upside). Prior stop was $9.86. Stop-loss: $9.86.

What are the risks of investing in TLX?

Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is TLX overvalued or undervalued?

Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 50.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited do?Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and...

Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutic and diagnostic radiopharmaceuticals. The company operates through three segments: Precision Medicine, Therapeutics, and Manufacturing Solutions. Its lead therapeutic product candidate is TLX591, a lutetium-labeled radio antibody-drug conjugate (rADC), which is in a Phase 3 clinical trial in patients with advanced prostate cancer. The company develops TLX250, an rADC for treating advanced metastatic kidney cancer; TLX101, a systemic therapy for the treatment of glioblastoma; TLX66, a product candidate for bone marrow conditioning for hematopoietic stem cell transplant conditioning; and Illuccix and Gozellix for the treatment of prostate cancer. The company is also developing TLX592, a prostate cancer therapy candidate for targeted alpha therapy based on its proprietary RADmAb-engineered antibody technology; TLX252 for the treatment of patients with advanced metastatic kidney cancer; TLX400, a bladder fibroblast activation protein for treating various tumors; TLX102, a large amino acid transporter-targeting small molecule-based alpha therapy candidate for the treatment of glioblastoma and multiple myeloma; TLX300 for treating soft tissue sarcoma; and TLX090, a bone-seeking agent for bone metastases and pain palliation. In addition, it is developing BiPASS, which is in Phase 3 clinical trial for prostate cancer diagnosis; AlFluor, a novel PET radiochemistry solution; TLX250-Px, a PET diagnostic imaging agent; and TLX101-Px, a radiolabeled amino acid PET agent. It operates in Australia, Belgium, Canada, the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. The company has strategic collaboration with University Hospital Essen; and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. for the development of radiopharmaceutical therapies and the joint development and commercialization of oncology programs. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in North Melbourne, Australia.

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