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THTarget Hospitality Corp.Sell4.7·$18.47-6.39%
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Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.47: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 13.39; Below-average business quality.

Target Hospitality Corp. operates as a specialty rental and hospitality services company in North America. It operates through Hospitality & Facilities Services – South, Workforce Hospitality Solutions, and Government segments. The company owns a network of specialty rental... Read more

$18.47+1.2% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#26 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield0.19%
Stop $17.18Target $18.70(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$22.00+19.1%4 analysts
$18.70our TP
$18.47price
$22.00mean
$23

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.47: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 13.39; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (1.2% upside)
Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)27.4
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA60.3
Profit Mgn-13.5%
ROE-11.0%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta1.46
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C13.39bearish
IV87%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.4
Value Rank
2.1
Growth Rank
3.4

Unprofitable operations — net margin -13.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.6
Current Ratio
3.4
Moat
4.6
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.7
Volume
2.5
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.95Resistance $20.85

Price Targets

$17
$19
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.47: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 13.39; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $17.18. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.70 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $17.18. Stop-loss: $17.18.

What are the risks of investing in TH?

Target reached (1.2% upside); Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0).

Is TH overvalued or undervalued?

Target Hospitality Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 27.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TH?

12 analysts cover TH with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Target Hospitality Corp. do?Target Hospitality Corp. operates as a specialty rental and hospitality services company in North America. It operates...

Target Hospitality Corp. operates as a specialty rental and hospitality services company in North America. It operates through Hospitality & Facilities Services – South, Workforce Hospitality Solutions, and Government segments. The company owns a network of specialty rental accommodation units. It also provides catering and food, maintenance, housekeeping, grounds-keeping, security, health and recreation facilities, workforce community management, concierge, and laundry services. In addition, the company offers construction services. It serves the U.S. government contractors and investment grade natural resource development companies. Target Hospitality Corp. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas.

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