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TFCTruist Financial CorporationHold6.0·$53.10+0.21%
HoldModerate Confidence

Thesis pillars

  • Put Call Hedging PressureImproving
  • Attractive Bank ValuationStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Truist Financial Corporation (TFC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Truist Financial Corporation operates 1,927 branches across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, serving consumers, businesses, and municipalities through Wholesale Banking and Consumer/Small Business Banking segments. Revenue flows from net interest income on a broad loan book and... Read more

$53.10-6.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#107 of 224 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.93%(5y avg 4.73%)Payout47.82%sustainable
Stop $51.44Target $61.06(default +15%)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$54.92+3.4%18 analysts
$61.06our TP
$53.10price
$54.92mean
$45
$61

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 16, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.2
P/E (Fwd)10.7
Mkt Cap$64.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn30.7%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta0.87
Dividend3.93%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.08bullish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$55+3.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicFlorida deposits22%
    10-K Item 1: 'Florida | | 22 | % | | 4th | | 441'
  • LOWGeographicGeorgia deposits21%
    10-K Item 1: 'Georgia | | 21 | | | 1st | | 202'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-08Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Catherine P. Bessant as director of Truist Financial Corporation effective June 5, 2026; also appointed to Board of Truist Bank. No officer departure cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-01Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders at the April 28, 2026 Annual Meeting approved the amendment and restatement of the Truist Financial Corporation 2022 Incentive Plan. No officer departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
9.5
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $50.04Resistance $53.27

Price Targets

$51
$61
A.Upside-6.9%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-16 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TFC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $61.06 (+15.0%), stop $51.44 (−3.2%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.06 (-6.9% upside). Target $61.06 (+15.0%), stop $51.44 (−3.2%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $51.44.

What are the risks of investing in TFC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is TFC overvalued or undervalued?

Truist Financial Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.2 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TFC?

26 analysts cover TFC with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $55.

What does Truist Financial Corporation do?Truist Financial Corporation operates 1,927 branches across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, serving consumers,...

Truist Financial Corporation operates 1,927 branches across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, serving consumers, businesses, and municipalities through Wholesale Banking and Consumer/Small Business Banking segments. Revenue flows from net interest income on a broad loan book and fee income from investment banking, wealth management, and treasury services. Truist Bank ranks among the 10 largest commercial banks in the U.S.

Related stocks: COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.) · ONB (Old National Bancorp) · ZION (Zions Bancorporation N.A.) · MFG (Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Sp) · BPOP (Popular, Inc.)
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