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TEOTelecom Argentina SASell6.4·$13.11+4.46%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Telecom Argentina generates 30% revenue growth with a Rule of 40 score of 41, exceptional free cash flow at 270% of net income, and a Piotroski financial health score of 8 out of 9 at a price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.03 — but has missed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and the stock has already exceeded the analyst price target.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash And Growth CombinationStable
  • Attractive Valuation At High GrowthStable
  • Consecutive Earnings Miss PatternStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Telecom Argentina SA (TEO) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. At $13.11, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 3.6%.

Telecom Argentina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay, Chile and the United States. The company offers mobile telecommunications services, including voice communications, high-speed mobile internet content... Read more

$13.11+3.5% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 45 Telecom Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield17386.73%
IncomeYield0.34%(5y avg 6.78%)Payout7.74%sustainable
Stop $12.11Target $13.48(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$15.50+18.2%5 analysts
$13.48our TP
$13.11price
$15.50mean
$9
$19

Sell if holding. At $13.11, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 3.6%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.6%
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.8
P/E (Fwd)15.0
Mkt Cap$5.4B
EV/EBITDA2.0
Profit Mgn3.9%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth30.5%
Beta0.37
Dividend0.34%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C6.33bearish
IV136%elevated
Max Pain$18+33.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 34.0%
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
20 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.41Resistance $16.34

Price Targets

$12
$13
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $13.11, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 3.6%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $12.11. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.48 (+3.5% upside). Prior stop was $12.11. Stop-loss: $12.11.

What are the risks of investing in TEO?

Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is TEO overvalued or undervalued?

Telecom Argentina SA trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TEO?

6 analysts cover TEO with a consensus score of 2.0/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Telecom Argentina SA do?Telecom Argentina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Argentina, Paraguay,...

Telecom Argentina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay, Chile and the United States. The company offers mobile telecommunications services, including voice communications, high-speed mobile internet content and applications download, online streaming, and other services; and sells mobile communication devices, such as handsets, modems, MiFi and wingles, and smartwatches. It also offers internet connectivity products, including virtual private network services, traditional internet protocol links, and other products; and programming and other cable television services. In addition, the company provides telephone services, including local, domestic, and international long-distance telephone services, as well as public telephone services; and other related supplementary services, such as call waiting, call forwarding, conference calls, caller ID, voice mail, itemized billing, and maintenance services. Further, it offers infrastructure, interconnection, datacenter, internet, value added, and international long-distance services; and data services, including data transmission, virtual private networks, symmetric internet access, national and international signal transport, and videoconferencing services; Personal Pay, a digital wallet service. The company also offers broadcasting, cable television, financial, cybersecurity, ICT services and audiovisual communication, content platform and related services; security solutions and services; closed-circuit and community closed-circuit television, as well as investment and consulting services. The company was formerly known as Cablevisión S.A. and changed its name to Telecom Argentina S.A. in January 2018. Telecom Argentina S.A. was founded in 1979 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

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