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TENTsakos Energy Navigation LtdHold7.4·$43.28+0.07%
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Tsakos Energy Navigation earns a composite score of 7.3 out of 10, has beaten earnings estimates in all four of the last four quarters with an average positive surprise of 31%, trades at a forward price-to-earnings of 13.3 times, and generates strong margins of 25% — but forward earnings are projected to decline 52% from the current trailing level as the tanker cycle peaks, and the put-to-call ratio of 27.4 is extremely elevated.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Earnings Beat At ValueDeteriorating
  • Cyclical Earnings Peak RiskImproving
  • Extreme Put Call Ratio WarningImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Earnings in 6 days (2026-09-10). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $43.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~53% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product transportation services in Greece and internationally. The company owns and operates various vessels, including VLCC, Suezmax, Aframax, Panamax, Handysize, MR, LNG... Read more

$43.28-9.7% A.UpsideScore 7.4/10#4 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.62%(5y avg 3.37%)Payout26.10%sustainable
Stop $40.98Target $49.77(default +15%)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$46.00+6.3%2 analysts
$49.77our TP
$43.28price
$46.00mean
$42
$50

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $43.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~53% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-9.7% upside). Wait for pullback. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 7.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 10, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.0 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~53% (cyclical peak)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.0
P/E (Fwd)14.7
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA7.0
Profit Mgn24.8%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth28.4%
Beta-0.26
Dividend4.62%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.54bearish
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 7.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.28Resistance $44.00

Price Targets

$41
$50
A.Upside-9.7%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 15x vs trail 7x (2.1x)
! Target reached (-9.7% upside)
! News modifier -1: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-10 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $43.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~53% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-9.7% upside). Wait for pullback. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $49.77 (+15.0%), stop $40.98 (−5.6%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 7.4/10, high confidence.

What is the TEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.77 (-9.7% upside). Target $49.77 (+15.0%), stop $40.98 (−5.6%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $40.98.

What are the risks of investing in TEN?

Earnings expected to decline ~53% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is TEN overvalued or undervalued?

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd trades at a P/E of 7.0 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TEN?

8 analysts cover TEN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $46.

What does Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd do?Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product...

Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product transportation services in Greece and internationally. The company owns and operates various vessels, including VLCC, Suezmax, Aframax, Panamax, Handysize, MR, LNG carrier, and shuttle DP2 tankers. It also provides marine transportation services for national, major, and other independent oil companies and refiners. The company was formerly known as MIF Limited and changed its name to Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited in July 2001. Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Athens, Greece.

Related stocks: TRMD (TORM plc) · STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · LPG (Dorian LPG Ltd.)
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