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TDAYUSA TODAY Co., Inc.Sell4.9·$7.09+3.73%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

USA TODAY Co has strung together earnings beats and converts earnings to cash efficiently, but declining revenue, high leverage, and a valuation that has already reached its target temper the case for anything beyond holding.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat StreakDeteriorating
  • Declining Revenue Despite Cash QualityDeteriorating
  • Leverage Penalty And Quality ConcernsImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Publishing

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.09: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.76; Below-average business quality.

USA TODAY Co. (formerly Gannett) is a diversified media and digital marketing company operating three segments: USA TODAY Media (the USA TODAY NETWORK of national and local U.S. publications), Newsquest (U.K. local news and magazines), and LocaliQ (digital marketing solutions... Read more

$7.09+8.3% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#4 of 6 Publishing
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield8.43%
Stop $6.61Target $7.69(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$8.84+24.7%6 analysts
$7.69our TP
$7.09price
$8.84mean
$5
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.09: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.76; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About USA TODAY Co., Inc.

About USA TODAY Co., Inc.

USA TODAY Co. generated digital revenue of $1.1 billion in 2025, 46% of total revenue, across three segments: USA TODAY Media, comprising the USA TODAY NETWORK's national USA TODAY publication and roughly 215 local U.S. communities across 43 states; Newsquest, its U.K. subsidiary with about 220 local news and magazine brands; and LocaliQ, a digital marketing platform for small and medium-sized businesses. The USA TODAY NETWORK averaged 132 million monthly unique visitors and the company reported approximately 0.8 million print subscribers and 1.5 million paid digital-only subscriptions as of December 31, 2025. USA TODAY Media remains print-and-commercial-revenue-led, with that category still 62% of segment revenue despite the digital push.

The USA TODAY Media segment earns revenue through print and digital subscriptions, advertising, digital marketing services, commercial printing, and content syndication and licensing, with digital advertising, digital marketing services, digital-only subscriptions, and digital-other (including AI content partnerships) as its four tracked digital categories; digital revenue there was $654.2 million, 38% of segment revenue, in 2025. Newsquest generates a similar mix in the U.K., with digital revenue of $81.5 million, 34% of its segment revenue. LocaliQ sells a cloud-based marketing automation and AI-driven advertising optimization platform, including its Dash-powered Customer Center product, to local businesses, partly by reselling online media inventory acquired from third parties. Across the company, print circulation is shifting distribution channels: USA TODAY Co. converted five publications to U.S. Postal Service same-day mail delivery in 2025 and plans to expand that program in 2026 to cut costs versus independent third-party distribution.

Show full overview

USA TODAY Co.'s capital structure is unusually concentrated in one lender: as of December 31, 2025 the company carried $729.5 million outstanding under its 2029 Term Loan Facility plus $24.1 million of 2027 Notes and $223.7 million of 2031 Notes, and the 10-K discloses that the majority of this indebtedness is held by a single creditor whose interests may diverge from stockholders' and who, to the company's knowledge, owns a majority of the outstanding 2031 Notes outright. If that creditor converts its 2031 Notes to common stock it could gain significant voting power, and separately the company's LocaliQ segment depends on online media inventory acquired from third-party platforms, so actions by either the debt-holding sponsor or those media suppliers sit outside management's direct control in ways that are unusual for a company of USA TODAY Co.'s scale.

See also: Communication Services · Publishing

From USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: single creditor (majority of indebtedness)
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)22.8
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA7.0
Profit Mgn-1.8%
ROE-20.7%
Rev Growth-8.3%
Beta1.39
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C2.76bearish
IV101%elevated
Max Pain$10+41.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartysingle creditor (majority of indebtedness)
    10-K Item 1A: 'The majority of our indebtedness is held by one creditor, who may have interests that diverge from our interests and the interests of our stockholders.'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartythird-party online media inventory (LocaliQ)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our LocaliQ segment utilizes online media acquired from third parties and our business could be materially adversely affected if these companies take actions that are adverse to our interests or otherwise restrict our ability to do business.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Volatile — 7.4% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
3.0
Beta
5.4
Max Pain Risk
7.0
Elevated put/call: 2.76High IV: 101%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
8.3

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.7
Roa
3.2
Current Ratio
3.2
Moat
3.2
Gross Margin
3.9
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Uptrend pullback (RSI 33) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.61Resistance $9.21

Price Targets

$7
$8
A.Upside+8.3%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TDAY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.09: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.76; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $6.61. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TDAY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.69 (+8.3% upside). Prior stop was $6.61. Stop-loss: $6.61.

What are the risks of investing in TDAY?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: single creditor (majority of indebtedness); Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is TDAY overvalued or undervalued?

USA TODAY Co., Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 22.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TDAY?

12 analysts cover TDAY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $9.

What does USA TODAY Co., Inc. do?USA TODAY Co. (formerly Gannett) is a diversified media and digital marketing company operating three segments: USA...

USA TODAY Co. (formerly Gannett) is a diversified media and digital marketing company operating three segments: USA TODAY Media (the USA TODAY NETWORK of national and local U.S. publications), Newsquest (U.K. local news and magazines), and LocaliQ (digital marketing solutions for small and medium-sized businesses). Digital revenue reached $1.1 billion, or 46% of total revenue, in 2025, with the USA TODAY NETWORK reaching roughly 132 million average monthly unique visitors and about 1.5 million paid digital-only subscriptions outnumbering print subscriptions. The company carries $729.5 million

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