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John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (WLY) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Publishing

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $42.03: Concentration risk — Product: Research segment (64.0%); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

John Wiley & Sons is a global publisher with Research (64% of revenue) and Learning segments, offering 1,800+ scientific journals, digital courseware, professional books, and assessments to researchers, students, and professionals. Revenue is 83% digital and 48% recurring,... Read more

$42.03+33.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#1 of 4 Publishing
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.42%
IncomeYield3.56%(5y avg 3.35%)Payout49.56%sustainable
Stop $39.75Target $56.10(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$66.00+57.0%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $42.03: Concentration risk — Product: Research segment (64.0%); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • May 6, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Jay Flynn (EVP and General Manager, Research and Learning) departed Wiley; Jessica Kowalski appointed EVP and General Manager, Research, effective May 11, 2026. Flynn's departure is without cause; Kowalski joins from Microsoft.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 33%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Research segment (64.0%)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.6
P/E (Fwd)8.8
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn9.2%
ROE21.5%
Rev Growth1.3%
Beta0.79
Dividend3.56%
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.00bearish
IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductResearch segment64%
    10-K Item 1: 'Research revenue accounted for approximately 64% of our consolidated revenue in the year ended April 30, 2025'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyprofessional societies publishing partners46%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 46% of Journal Subscriptions revenue is derived from publication rights that are owned by professional societies and other publishing partners'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Jay Flynn (EVP and General Manager, Research and Learning) departed Wiley; Jessica Kowalski appointed EVP and General Manager, Research, effective May 11, 2026. Flynn's departure is without cause; Kowalski joins from Microsoft.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
2.5
Value Rank
5.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
1.7
52w Position
9.1
GatesMomentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $38.48Resistance $42.78

Price Targets

$40
$56
A.Upside+33.5%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts5
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$66

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-16 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WLY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $42.03: Concentration risk — Product: Research segment (64.0%); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $39.75. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WLY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $56.10 (+33.5% upside). Prior stop was $39.75. Stop-loss: $39.75.

What are the risks of investing in WLY?

Concentration risk — Product: Research segment (64.0%); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Is WLY overvalued or undervalued?

John Wiley & Sons, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.6 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WLY?

5 analysts cover WLY with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $66.

What does John Wiley & Sons, Inc. do?John Wiley & Sons is a global publisher with Research (64% of revenue) and Learning segments, offering 1,800+...

John Wiley & Sons is a global publisher with Research (64% of revenue) and Learning segments, offering 1,800+ scientific journals, digital courseware, professional books, and assessments to researchers, students, and professionals. Revenue is 83% digital and 48% recurring, primarily from subscription-based journal licenses and open-access fees; ~49% of revenue is from outside the U.S.

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