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SCHLScholastic CorporationBuy Wait4.3·$35.36
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Scholastic's earnings beat streak and imminent catalyst are offset by declining revenue, an elevated growth-adjusted valuation, and a notably negative risk-adjusted asymmetry ratio, consistent with a call to consider reducing the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Catalyst With Beat StreakStable
  • Declining RevenueStable
  • Elevated Valuation Vs GrowthStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Scholastic Corporation (SCHL) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueQualityShortHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Publishing

Earnings in 1 day (2026-09-24). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $31.71. At $35.36 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $31.71 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4).

Scholastic Corporation (the "Corporation" and together with its subsidiaries, "Scholastic" or the "Company") is the world's largest publisher and distributor of children's books, a leading provider of print and digital instructional materials for grades pre-kindergarten... Read more

$35.36+1.0% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#6 of 6 Publishing
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield8.63%
IncomeYield2.87%(5y avg 2.32%)Payout34.19%sustainable
Entry $31.71(Rr Min Solve Sticky)Stop $29.03Target $35.70(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$42.00+18.8%2 analysts
Range unavailable (2 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $31.71. At $35.36 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $31.71 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-24
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 24, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.9
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$658M
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE6.7%
Rev Growth-6.3%
Beta1.01
Dividend2.87%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV63%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
0.9
Declining revenue: -6%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.7
Growth Rank
1.7
Value Rank
6.2
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 2.11%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $34.13Resistance $41.03

Price Targets

$29
$32
$36
A.Upside+1.0%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.0% upside)
! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-24 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCHL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $31.71. At $35.36 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $31.71 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $35.70 (+1.0%), stop $29.03 (−21.8%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.

What is the SCHL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.70 (+1.0% upside). Target $35.70 (+1.0%), stop $29.03 (−21.8%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $29.03.

What are the risks of investing in SCHL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Is SCHL overvalued or undervalued?

Scholastic Corporation trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SCHL?

6 analysts cover SCHL with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Scholastic Corporation do?Scholastic Corporation (the "Corporation" and together with its subsidiaries, "Scholastic" or the "Company") is the...

Scholastic Corporation (the "Corporation" and together with its subsidiaries, "Scholastic" or the "Company") is the world's largest publisher and distributor of children's books, a leading provider of print and digital instructional materials for grades pre-kindergarten ("pre-K") to grade 12 and a producer of entertaining literary and educational children's media.

Related stocks: WLY (John Wiley & Sons, Inc.) · WLYB (John Wiley & Sons, Inc.) · TDAY (USA TODAY Co., Inc.) · EVER (EverQuote, Inc.) · OPRA (Opera Limited)
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