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SWMRSwarmer, IncSell5.0·$43.92+6.56%
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Swarmer, Inc (SWMR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.92: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum.

Swarmer, Inc develops autonomous drone swarm software and artificial intelligence solutions in the United States. The company specializes in software platforms and AI systems for military organizations to deploy and coordinate unmanned systems operations. Its services include... Read more

$43.92+18.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#93 of 110 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield
Stop $39.92Target $51.00(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$60.00+36.6%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.92: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Swarmer, Inc

Generated 2026-07-05T09:50:26Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)159.0
Mkt Cap$466M
EV/EBITDA-49.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth-81.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
3.2
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
5.0
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe
1.0
Peg Ratio
5.9
Forward P/E: 159.0xPEG: 1.29

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
2.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $35.66Resistance $79.70

Price Targets

$40
$51
A.Upside+16.1%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SWMR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.92: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $39.92. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SWMR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.00 (+18.8% upside). Prior stop was $39.92. Stop-loss: $39.92.

What are the risks of investing in SWMR?

Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is SWMR overvalued or undervalued?

Swarmer, Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 159.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SWMR?

7 analysts cover SWMR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $60.

What does Swarmer, Inc do?Swarmer, Inc develops autonomous drone swarm software and artificial intelligence solutions in the United States. The...

Swarmer, Inc develops autonomous drone swarm software and artificial intelligence solutions in the United States. The company specializes in software platforms and AI systems for military organizations to deploy and coordinate unmanned systems operations. Its services include autonomous swarm coordination, multi-domain unmanned systems integration, AI-powered collaborative autonomy, and command and control software for distributed robotic operations. The company's products include STYX AI Command & Control System, a platform enabling operators to manage autonomous drones through an intuitive interface, providing real-time mission planning, execution monitoring, tactical adjustment capabilities, integration with existing battlefield management systems, and video streaming; MINAS Autonomy and Collaboration AI, that offers autonomous operation and collaborative behavior across heterogeneous drone swarms from multiple manufacturers, coordinating mission execution, enabling shared situational awareness, adapting to dynamic battlefield conditions; and TRIDENT Embedded Drone Operating System that offers mesh networking, military-grade encryption, video streaming, and hardware abstraction capabilities, creating a standardized software layer for any drone platform to integrate with the Swarmer ecosystem. Swarmer, Inc was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Austin, Texas.

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