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SUPVGrupo Supervielle S.A.Sell4.7·$9.55+3.24%
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Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.55: Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Grupo Supervielle S.A., a financial services holding company, provides various banking products and services in Argentina. The company operates through Personal & Business Banking, Corporate Banking, Bank Treasury, Insurance, and Asset Management and Other Services segments. It... Read more

$9.55+19.0% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#221 of 225 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield
Stop $8.88Target $11.36(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$13.06+36.7%5 analysts
$11.36our TP
$9.55price
$13.06mean
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.55: Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.1
Mkt Cap$903M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-10.4%
ROE-7.8%
Rev Growth1.1%
Beta0.42
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV103%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -10.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
3.6
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.8
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.03Resistance $11.80

Price Targets

$9
$11
A.Upside+19.0%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SUPV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.55: Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $8.88. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SUPV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.36 (+19.0% upside). Prior stop was $8.88. Stop-loss: $8.88.

What are the risks of investing in SUPV?

Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0).

Is SUPV overvalued or undervalued?

Grupo Supervielle S.A. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SUPV?

10 analysts cover SUPV with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Grupo Supervielle S.A. do?Grupo Supervielle S.A., a financial services holding company, provides various banking products and services in...

Grupo Supervielle S.A., a financial services holding company, provides various banking products and services in Argentina. The company operates through Personal & Business Banking, Corporate Banking, Bank Treasury, Insurance, and Asset Management and Other Services segments. It offers savings and checking accounts, and time deposits; personal, mortgage, unsecured, and car loans; overdrafts; loans with special facilities for project and working capital financing; and leasing, bank guarantees for tenants, salary advances, domestic and international factoring, international guarantees and letters of credit, payroll payment plans, and credit and debit cards, as well as financial services and investments, such as mutual funds, guarantees, and benefit payments for senior citizens. The company also provides foreign trade and cash management; advisory services; treasury services; insurance products comprising life, home, personal accidents, technology, ATMs, protected bag and content, and integral insurance product for entrepreneurs and SME customers and other insurance policies; and asset management and other services, as well as operates as a digital online broker. It operates through a network of branches, ATMs, and self-service terminals. The company was formerly known as Inversiones y Participaciones S.A. and changed its name to Grupo Supervielle S.A. in November 2008. Grupo Supervielle S.A. was founded in 1887 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

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