Grupo Supervielle trades at a forward P/E of 5.1x with 59.4% upside to the analyst target after a 52% drawdown, but quality is very weak, earnings misses dominate and the stock is in a confirmed downtrend.
Thesis pillars
- Weak Quality No Moat→Stable
- Deep Value After Drawdown→Stable
- Confirmed Downtrend↓Deteriorating
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026
Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge
Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.44: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Grupo Supervielle S.A., a financial services holding company, provides various banking products and services in Argentina. The company operates through Personal & Business Banking, Corporate Banking, Bank Treasury, Insurance, and Asset Management and Other Services segments. It... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.44: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 40, MACD bearish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-11-02Recent Developments — Grupo Supervielle S.A.
Latest news
- NEWS UBS Maintains Neutral on Grupo Supervielle, Lowers Price Target to $11.5 — benzinga Jul 10, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-11-02T12:03:20Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Unprofitable operations — net margin -11.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.44: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 40, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $6.18. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $10.27 (+59.4% upside). Prior stop was $6.18. Stop-loss: $6.18.
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).
Grupo Supervielle S.A. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 5.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover SUPV with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $12.
What does Grupo Supervielle S.A. do?Grupo Supervielle S.A., a financial services holding company, provides various banking products and services in...
Grupo Supervielle S.A., a financial services holding company, provides various banking products and services in Argentina. The company operates through Personal & Business Banking, Corporate Banking, Bank Treasury, Insurance, and Asset Management and Other Services segments. It offers savings and checking accounts, and time deposits; personal, mortgage, unsecured, and car loans; overdrafts; loans with special facilities for project and working capital financing; and leasing, bank guarantees for tenants, salary advances, domestic and international factoring, international guarantees and letters of credit, payroll payment plans, and credit and debit cards, as well as financial services and investments, such as mutual funds, guarantees, and benefit payments for senior citizens. The company also provides foreign trade and cash management; advisory services; treasury services; insurance products comprising life, home, personal accidents, technology, ATMs, protected bag and content, and integral insurance product for entrepreneurs and SME customers and other insurance policies; and asset management and other services, as well as operates as a digital online broker. It operates through a network of branches, ATMs, and self-service terminals. The company was formerly known as Inversiones y Participaciones S.A. and changed its name to Grupo Supervielle S.A. in November 2008. Grupo Supervielle S.A. was founded in 1887 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.