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STWDSTARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. SSell6.1·$12.05

STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S (STWD) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+6.1% vs estimateEPS $0.31 vs $0.29 estCurrent verdict Sell 6.1/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$0.31
Estimate
$0.29
Surprise
+6.1%
Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
$545.9M
Score today
6.1/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S (STWD) beat the $0.29 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.31 — a clear 6.1% upside surprise.

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • Starwood Prop Trust Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-11-06
  • Starwood Property Trust Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-06
  • Starwood Prop Trust Q3 Adj. EPS $0.41 Beats $0.33 Estimate, Sales $545.853M Beat $530.667M Estimate — benzinga, 2026-11-06
Current read · as of 2026-11-07

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates STWD Sell at 6.1/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +6.1% surprise compares with a -0.1% four-quarter average.

What supports the rating

  • Attractive valuation
  • Analyst upside: 35%

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Power (56.9%)
  • Concentration risk — Geographic: South East
  • V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$12.05
Price target
$16.31
Stop
$11.48
Upside to target
+35.4%
Reward-to-risk
5.5:1

Risk check: trading volume is running 1.8× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-07 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Real Estate context

STWD at TrendMatrix's latest read

REIT quarters hinge on occupancy, rate exposure, and FFO rather than headline EPS, which mechanically distorts under depreciation.

Industry
REIT - Mortgage
Market cap
$4.58B
P/E (fwd)
6.6
52-week range
$11.84–$18.66
Off 52-week high
35.4%
RSI (14)
51
Volume vs avg
1.83×
Score today
6.1/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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