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SLGSL Green Realty CorpSell3.5·$51.05-0.20%
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SL Green Realty Corp (SLG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Office

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.05: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

SL Green is Manhattan's largest owner of office real estate, with 26 consolidated Manhattan commercial properties (~11M sq ft) and interests in 10 unconsolidated joint venture properties. Revenue comes from office tenant rents in midtown Manhattan; five properties (One... Read more

$51.05+0.7% A.UpsideScore 3.5/10#13 of 14 REIT - Office
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield18.88%
IncomeYield5.23%(5y avg 6.93%)Payout15375.00%
Stop $47.70Target $51.48(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$48.06-5.9%18 analysts
$51.48our TP
$51.05price
$48.06mean
$36
$70

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.05: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Score 3.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Manhattan
Concentration risk — Property Type: office properties
Target reached (-15.4% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-28.2
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA30.9
Profit Mgn-16.2%
ROE-3.5%
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta1.60
Dividend5.23%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.95neutral
IV58%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicManhattan
    10-K Item 1: 'As of December 31, 2025, our real estate portfolio was principally located in one geographical market, Manhattan, a borough of New York City'
  • HIGHPropertyoffice properties
    10-K Item 1: 'primarily engaged in the ownership, management...of commercial real estate properties, principally office properties, located in the New York metropolitan area, principally in Manhattan'
  • HIGHTenanttop 5 properties (One Vanderbilt, 11 Madison, 420 Lexington, 1515 Broadway, 245 Park)37%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Five of our properties, One Vanderbilt Avenue, 11 Madison Avenue, 420 Lexington Avenue, 1515 Broadway and 245 Park Avenue accounted for 36.6% of our Portfolio annualized cash rent'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-04Item 5.02LOW
    Harrison Sitomer appointed as President of SL Green Realty Corp. effective Feb 27, 2026, while continuing as Chief Investment Officer. No departure indicated; appointment of additional title.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.4
Growth Rank
1.4
Value Rank
2.9

Unprofitable operations — net margin -16.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.3
Operating Margin
0.5
Moat
3.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.1
Gross Margin
5.6
Fcf Quality
6.0
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 79%, FCF yield 18.9%)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
1.6
52w Position
5.9

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
P Ocf
1.7
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
7.4
P/OCF: 67.2x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
82 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.83Resistance $52.53

Price Targets

$48
$51
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SLG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.05: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Prior stop was $47.70. Score 3.5/10, high confidence.

What is the SLG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.48 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $47.70. Stop-loss: $47.70.

What are the risks of investing in SLG?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Manhattan; Concentration risk — Property Type: office properties; Target reached (-15.4% upside).

Is SLG overvalued or undervalued?

SL Green Realty Corp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -28.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SLG?

21 analysts cover SLG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $48.

What does SL Green Realty Corp do?SL Green is Manhattan's largest owner of office real estate, with 26 consolidated Manhattan commercial properties (~11M...

SL Green is Manhattan's largest owner of office real estate, with 26 consolidated Manhattan commercial properties (~11M sq ft) and interests in 10 unconsolidated joint venture properties. Revenue comes from office tenant rents in midtown Manhattan; five properties (One Vanderbilt, 11 Madison, 420 Lexington, 1515 Broadway, 245 Park) represent 36.6% of Portfolio annualized cash rent.

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