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SCHLScholastic CorporationSell4.6·$42.63-8.20%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Scholastic's earnings beat streak and imminent catalyst are offset by declining revenue, an elevated growth-adjusted valuation, and a notably negative risk-adjusted asymmetry ratio, consistent with a call to consider reducing the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Catalyst With Beat StreakStable
  • Declining RevenueDeteriorating
  • Elevated Valuation Vs GrowthImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Scholastic Corporation (SCHL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Publishing

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.63 — A.R:R is negative (-2.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.6/10.

Scholastic Corporation (the "Corporation" and together with its subsidiaries, "Scholastic" or the "Company") is the world's largest publisher and distributor of children's books, a leading provider of print and digital instructional materials for grades pre-kindergarten... Read more

$42.63-17.3% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#5 of 6 Publishing
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.16%(5y avg 2.31%)Payout33.20%sustainable
Stop $40.13Target $47.11(resistance)A.R:R -2.3:1
Analyst target$42.00-1.5%2 analysts
Range unavailable (2 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.63 — A.R:R is negative (-2.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 17, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.6/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.3
P/E (Fwd)19.7
Mkt Cap$796M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth-6.3%
Beta
Dividend2.16%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$23-47.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
0.9
Declining revenue: -6%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.8
Value Rank
6.7
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -2.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $41.10Resistance $48.07

Price Targets

$40
$47
A.Upside-17.3%
A.R:R-2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.3% upside)
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-17 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCHL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.63 — A.R:R is negative (-2.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $40.13. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCHL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.11 (-17.3% upside). Prior stop was $40.13. Stop-loss: $40.13.

What are the risks of investing in SCHL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.6/10; Weak growth.

Is SCHL overvalued or undervalued?

Scholastic Corporation trades at a P/E of 19.3 (forward 19.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SCHL?

6 analysts cover SCHL with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Scholastic Corporation do?Scholastic Corporation (the "Corporation" and together with its subsidiaries, "Scholastic" or the "Company") is the...

Scholastic Corporation (the "Corporation" and together with its subsidiaries, "Scholastic" or the "Company") is the world's largest publisher and distributor of children's books, a leading provider of print and digital instructional materials for grades pre-kindergarten ("pre-K") to grade 12 and a producer of entertaining literary and educational children's media.

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