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SCHLScholastic CorporationSell4.8·$46.41-1.96%
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Scholastic Corporation (SCHL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Publishing

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.41 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away).

Scholastic Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, publishes and distributes children's books in the United States and internationally. The Children's Book Publishing and Distribution segment engages in the publication and distribution of children's print, digital, and... Read more

$46.41+1.5% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#5 of 6 Publishing
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield13.58%
IncomeYield1.72%(5y avg 2.30%)Payout33.20%sustainable
Stop $43.49Target $47.11(resistance)A.R:R -2.2:1
Analyst target$41.00-11.7%2 analysts
$47.11our TP
$46.41price
$41.00mean
$40

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.41 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.5% away)
Weak overall score: 4.8/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.3
P/E (Fwd)17.4
Mkt Cap$856M
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn3.9%
ROE6.9%
Rev Growth-1.9%
Beta0.99
Dividend1.72%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV63%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Earnings Growth
4.2
Declining revenue: -2%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
1.7
Value Rank
6.7
GatesA.R:R -2.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $41.05Resistance $48.07

Price Targets

$43
$47
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R-2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-24.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCHL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.41 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $43.49. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCHL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.11 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $43.49. Stop-loss: $43.49.

What are the risks of investing in SCHL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away); Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Is SCHL overvalued or undervalued?

Scholastic Corporation trades at a P/E of 19.3 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SCHL?

6 analysts cover SCHL with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Scholastic Corporation do?Scholastic Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, publishes and distributes children's books in the United States...

Scholastic Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, publishes and distributes children's books in the United States and internationally. The Children's Book Publishing and Distribution segment engages in the publication and distribution of children's print, digital, and audiobooks, as well as media and interactive products through its school reading events and trade channels; and operates school-based book clubs and book fairs. Its original publications include Harry Potter, The Hunger Games, The Baby-Sitters Club, The Magic School Bus, Captain Underpants, Dog Man, Wings of Fire, Cat Kid Comic Club, Clifford The Big Red Dog, and I Survived, Goosebumps; licensed properties comprising the Peppa Pig and Pokémon; and publishes and creates Klutz and Make Believe Ideas titles, such as Mini Shake Shop, Pokémon Stained Glass, LEGO Miniature Photography, and the Never Touch series. The Education Solutions segment publishes and distributes classroom magazines under the Scholastic News, Scholastic Scope, Storyworks, Let's Find Out, and Junior Scholastic names; supplemental and classroom materials and programs, and related support services; print and online reference and non-fiction products; and provides consulting services. The Entertainment segment provides the development, production, distribution and licensing of kids' and family film and television content. The International segment publishes and distributes English, Hindi, and French language books; and operates school-based marketing channels, as well as supplying original and licensed children's books, and supplemental educational materials, including professional books for teachers. It distributes its products and services directly to schools and libraries through retail stores and the internet. Scholastic Corporation was founded in 1920 and is based in New York, New York.

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