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RVLVRevolve Group, Inc.Hold6.0·$24.05-0.47%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Revolve Group has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with an average positive surprise of 50%, and analysts see 43% upside to consensus targets, but a confirmed death cross in moving averages, high debt-to-equity of 6.3, and a price trading below the 200-day moving average represent meaningful near-term headwinds.

Thesis pillars

  • Large Earnings Beat PatternStable
  • High Leverage And Recovery SetupDeteriorating
  • Analyst Upside To Consensus TargetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Revolve Group, Inc. (RVLV) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium lifestyle brand and a go-to online source for discovery and inspiration, we deliver exceptional service and an engaging customer experience with a vast yet curated... Read more

$24.05+13.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#7 of 22 Internet Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.19%
Stop $22.51Target $26.84(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$30.85+28.3%13 analysts
$26.84our TP
$24.05price
$30.85mean
$37

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.7
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA16.5
Profit Mgn5.5%
ROE14.3%
Rev Growth12.4%
Beta1.64
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.7
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Ma Position
4.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $23.21Resistance $27.34

Price Targets

$23
$27
A.Upside+13.3%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RVLV stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $26.84 (+11.6%), stop $22.51 (−6.8%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RVLV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.84 (+13.3% upside). Target $26.84 (+11.6%), stop $22.51 (−6.8%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $22.51.

What are the risks of investing in RVLV?

Negative momentum.

Is RVLV overvalued or undervalued?

Revolve Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.7 (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RVLV?

21 analysts cover RVLV with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Revolve Group, Inc. do?REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium...

REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium lifestyle brand and a go-to online source for discovery and inspiration, we deliver exceptional service and an engaging customer experience with a vast yet curated offering totaling over 140,000 apparel and footwear styles, as well as beauty and accessories.

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