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RSReliance, Inc.Sell6.5·$407.83+3.15%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Reliance Inc. is a metals distributor with a low price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.53 and a strong Piotroski financial health score, but three consecutive earnings misses and a stock near overbought territory with falling on-balance volume signal deteriorating near-term earnings quality despite the attractive valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Low Peg Ratio ValuationImproving
  • Overbought Distribution SignalImproving
  • Earnings Miss Trend RiskImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Reliance, Inc. (RS) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $407.83 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.9% away).

Reliance operates a network of companies providing diversified metal solutions and is the largest metals service center company in North America (U.S. and Canada) based on revenues, with 2025 net sales of $14.29 billion.

$407.83-16.4% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#2 of 14 Steel
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.64%
IncomeYield1.26%(5y avg 1.55%)Payout28.47%sustainable
Stop $386.67Target $405.68(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$392.00-3.9%8 analysts
$405.68our TP
$407.83price
$392.00mean
$350
$425

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $407.83 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202688d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.9% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.0
P/E (Fwd)18.5
Mkt Cap$20.8B
EV/EBITDA14.6
Profit Mgn5.7%
ROE12.2%
Rev Growth26.5%
Beta0.96
Dividend1.26%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.3
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.4
GatesA.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $367.74Resistance $413.96

Price Targets

$387
$406
A.Upside-16.4%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $407.83 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $386.67. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $405.68 (-16.4% upside). Prior stop was $386.67. Stop-loss: $386.67.

What are the risks of investing in RS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.9% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is RS overvalued or undervalued?

Reliance, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.0 (forward 18.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RS?

18 analysts cover RS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $392.

What does Reliance, Inc. do?Reliance operates a network of companies providing diversified metal solutions and is the largest metals service center...

Reliance operates a network of companies providing diversified metal solutions and is the largest metals service center company in North America (U.S. and Canada) based on revenues, with 2025 net sales of $14.29 billion.

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