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RSReliance, Inc.Sell5.5·$372.01-0.10%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Reliance Inc. is a metals distributor with a low price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.53 and a strong Piotroski financial health score, but three consecutive earnings misses and a stock near overbought territory with falling on-balance volume signal deteriorating near-term earnings quality despite the attractive valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Low Peg Ratio ValuationStable
  • Overbought Distribution SignalStable
  • Earnings Miss Trend RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Reliance, Inc. (RS) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $372.01 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Reliance operates a network of companies providing diversified metal solutions and is the largest metals service center company in North America (U.S. and Canada) based on revenues, with 2025 net sales of $14.29 billion.

$372.01+10.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#4 of 13 Steel
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.22%
IncomeYield1.34%(5y avg 1.55%)Payout31.62%sustainable
Stop $356.71Target $411.43(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$382.63+2.9%8 analysts
$411.43our TP
$372.01price
$382.63mean
$350
$418

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $372.01 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202618d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.3
P/E (Fwd)17.5
Mkt Cap$19.0B
EV/EBITDA14.6
Profit Mgn5.4%
ROE11.3%
Rev Growth15.5%
Beta0.96
Dividend1.34%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.1
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 29)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 134.0%
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 18d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $367.74Resistance $419.83

Price Targets

$357
$411
A.Upside+10.6%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.5% upside)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (18d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $372.01 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $356.71. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $411.43 (+10.6% upside). Prior stop was $356.71. Stop-loss: $356.71.

What are the risks of investing in RS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Is RS overvalued or undervalued?

Reliance, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.3 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RS?

18 analysts cover RS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $383.

What does Reliance, Inc. do?Reliance operates a network of companies providing diversified metal solutions and is the largest metals service center...

Reliance operates a network of companies providing diversified metal solutions and is the largest metals service center company in North America (U.S. and Canada) based on revenues, with 2025 net sales of $14.29 billion.

Related stocks: NUE (Nucor Corporation) · STLD (Steel Dynamics, Inc.) · SIM (Grupo Simec, S.A.B. de C.V.) · TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A.) · MT (Arcelor Mittal NY Registry Shar)
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