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ROGRogers CorporationSell5.2·$140.40-2.43%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Rogers Corporation is an advanced materials manufacturer for electric vehicles and wireless infrastructure with strong momentum and a 3-of-4 earnings beat record, but two high-priority supply chain risks, 72% international revenue exposure, and the stock trading 17.7% above analyst targets create a challenging near-term risk-reward profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Geographic Concentration Foreign RevenueStable
  • Strong Breakout Momentum VolumeStable
  • Price Above Analyst Target AsymmetryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Rogers Corporation (ROG) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $140.40: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Rogers Corporation designs and manufactures high-performance engineered materials and components across two segments—Advanced Electronics Solutions (serving EV/HEV, aerospace, wireless infrastructure) and Elastomeric Material Solutions (serving industrial, automotive, and... Read more

$140.40+10.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#15 of 29 Electronic Components
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.45%
Stop $131.45Target $155.83(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$183.33+30.6%3 analysts
$155.83our TP
$140.40price
$183.33mean
$200

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $140.40: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — Rogers Corporation

Generated 2026-07-07T11:41:57Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: foreign markets (72.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole and limited source suppliers
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)33.0
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA20.5
Profit Mgn-6.8%
ROE-4.5%
Rev Growth5.2%
Beta0.49
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$130-7.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicforeign markets72%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 72% of our net sales resulted from sales in foreign markets'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina and the Asia Pacific region41%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to customers located in China and the Asia Pacific region accounted for approximately 41% of our total sales'
  • HIGHSuppliersole and limited source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on sole and limited source suppliers for certain of the raw materials that are critical to the manufacturing of our products.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    Ali El-Haj appointed permanent President, CEO, and Director of Rogers Corporation effective May 19, 2026, following completion of extensive executive search. He was previously Interim CEO. Annual base salary $750,000; target annual incentive 100% of base; LTI equity grant of $5,000,000.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Rogers Corporation 2026 Employee Stock Purchase Plan approved by shareholders at May 6, 2026 annual meeting. Plan provides 200,000 shares plus remaining shares under prior plan; replaces prior ESPP for offering periods commencing June 16, 2026. Routine compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.3
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.6
Growth Rank
1.7
Value Rank
5.2

Unprofitable operations — net margin -6.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.8
Gross Margin
2.4
Operating Margin
3.3
Moat
3.6
Piotroski F
8.9
Current Ratio
9.0
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $135.52Resistance $169.00

Price Targets

$131
$156
A.Upside+11.0%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $140.40: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $131.45. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $155.83 (+10.4% upside). Prior stop was $131.45. Stop-loss: $131.45.

What are the risks of investing in ROG?

Concentration risk — Geographic: foreign markets (72.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole and limited source suppliers; Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is ROG overvalued or undervalued?

Rogers Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 33.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROG?

7 analysts cover ROG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $183.

What does Rogers Corporation do?Rogers Corporation designs and manufactures high-performance engineered materials and components across two...

Rogers Corporation designs and manufactures high-performance engineered materials and components across two segments—Advanced Electronics Solutions (serving EV/HEV, aerospace, wireless infrastructure) and Elastomeric Material Solutions (serving industrial, automotive, and medical markets)—selling to approximately 2,800 customers globally in 2025. Approximately 72% of net sales came from foreign markets, with no single customer exceeding 10% of total net sales.

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