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REAXThe Real Brokerage, Inc.Hold6.1·$1.70+1.80%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The Real Brokerage offers deep asymmetric upside after a 60% drawdown, powered by continued strong revenue growth, but the position remains technically unconfirmed — still in a downtrend below its 200-day average — and carries quality metrics below the engine's floor.

Thesis pillars

  • Asymmetric Recovery UpsideStable
  • Growth Despite Quality ConcernsStable
  • Confirmed Technical DowntrendDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

The Real Brokerage, Inc. (REAX) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $5.15 vs price $1.69 — ratio 3.0×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $368M below $400M minimum.

The Real Brokerage Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate technology company in the United States and Canada. The company provides title, mortgage, and wallet services. It also offers ancillary services including mortgage origination, title and escrow... Read more

$1.70+33.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 19 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield17.54%
Stop $1.59Target $2.26(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$5.15+202.9%5 analysts
$2.26our TP
$1.70price
$5.15mean
$7

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $5.15 vs price $1.69 — ratio 3.0×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $368M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Market cap $368M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $5.15 vs price $1.69 — ratio 3.0×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Market cap $368M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-42.3
Mkt Cap$368M
EV/EBITDA-69.8
Profit Mgn-0.3%
ROE-13.1%
Rev Growth31.5%
Beta0.74
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV316%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.5
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.3
Macd
2.9
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -13.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $1.64Resistance $2.31

Price Targets

$2
$2
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $5.15 vs price $1.69 — ratio 3.0×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Market cap $368M below $400M minimum
! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REAX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $5.15 vs price $1.69 — ratio 3.0×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $368M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Market cap $368M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $2.26 (+32.9%), stop $1.59 (−6.9%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the REAX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $2.26 (+33.7% upside). Target $2.26 (+32.9%), stop $1.59 (−6.9%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $1.59.

What are the risks of investing in REAX?

DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $5.15 vs price $1.69 — ratio 3.0×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $368M below $400M minimum.

Is REAX overvalued or undervalued?

The Real Brokerage, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -42.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about REAX?

12 analysts cover REAX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $5.

What does The Real Brokerage, Inc. do?The Real Brokerage Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate technology company in the United...

The Real Brokerage Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate technology company in the United States and Canada. The company provides title, mortgage, and wallet services. It also offers ancillary services including mortgage origination, title and escrow services, and financial technology and lending products. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.

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