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PSPershing Square Inc.Sell5.0·$36.60+0.27%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PS shows a strong growth profile and active insider buying, but an expensive forward multiple, elevated leverage, and an elevated put/call skew argue for reducing exposure despite the growth narrative.

Thesis pillars

  • Expensive Valuation RiskImproving
  • Leverage Penalty ConcernDeteriorating
  • Strong Growth ProfileStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Pershing Square Inc. (PS) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.60: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum.

Pershing Square Inc. operates as an alternative asset manager. The company was formerly known as Pershing Square Holdco, L.P. The company was incorporated in 2024 and is based in New York, New York. Pershing Square Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Pershing Square Partner Group,... Read more

$36.60+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#195 of 240 Asset Management
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.05%
IncomeYield1.27%Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $34.65Target $36.83(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$42.33+15.7%9 analysts
$36.83our TP
$36.60price
$42.33mean
$34
$53

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.60: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03

Recent Developments — Pershing Square Inc.

Generated 2026-09-03T15:02:26Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (0.6% upside)
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)38.1
Mkt Cap$14.6B
EV/EBITDA235.7
Profit Mgn2.1%
ROE2.5%
Rev Growth1.9%
Beta
Dividend1.27%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.53bullish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$25-31.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Ma Position
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Forward Pe
2.9
Analyst Target
5.0
Peg Ratio
10.0
Forward P/E: 38.1xPEG: 0.20

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.5
Roe
0.8
Net Margin
1.0
Roa
1.3
Current Ratio
2.8
Moat
5.2
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 956% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $35.72Resistance $43.49

Price Targets

$35
$37
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.60: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $34.65. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.83 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $34.65. Stop-loss: $34.65.

What are the risks of investing in PS?

Target reached (0.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is PS overvalued or undervalued?

Pershing Square Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 38.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PS?

18 analysts cover PS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Pershing Square Inc. do?Pershing Square Inc. operates as an alternative asset manager. The company was formerly known as Pershing Square...

Pershing Square Inc. operates as an alternative asset manager. The company was formerly known as Pershing Square Holdco, L.P. The company was incorporated in 2024 and is based in New York, New York. Pershing Square Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Pershing Square Partner Group, LLC.

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