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PHOEPhoenix Asia Holdings LimitedSell4.0·$21.00-4.07%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Phoenix Asia Holdings pairs a red-flag cash-flow metric and declining revenue with a failed momentum gate, even as an oversold technical setup and a recent gap up point to near-term volatility in either direction.

Thesis pillars

  • Severe Cash Burn Red FlagDeteriorating
  • Declining RevenueImproving
  • Oversold In Uptrend Momentum Gate FailureStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.00: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited provides substructure works services in Hong Kong. The company undertakes site formation, such as clearance of construction site, demolition of existing structures, and reduction and stabilization of existing slopes; ground investigation comprising... Read more

$21.00+16.7% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#34 of 34 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-0.85%
Stop $19.53Target $24.50(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.00: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-21

Recent Developments — Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited

Latest news

Generated 2026-08-21T18:12:34Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$473M
EV/EBITDA-399.1
Profit Mgn-16.7%
ROE-25.9%
Rev Growth3.2%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -16.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.6
Current Ratio
7.5
Cash-burning: FCF -56% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.2
Growth Rank
1.8
Conservative debt levels

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.3
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.63Resistance $25.00

Price Targets

$20
$25
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for PHOE.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PHOE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.00: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $19.53. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PHOE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.50 (+16.7% upside). Prior stop was $19.53. Stop-loss: $19.53.

What are the risks of investing in PHOE?

Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is PHOE overvalued or undervalued?

Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited do?Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited provides substructure works services in Hong Kong. The company undertakes site formation,...

Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited provides substructure works services in Hong Kong. The company undertakes site formation, such as clearance of construction site, demolition of existing structures, and reduction and stabilization of existing slopes; ground investigation comprising of assessing ground condition by drilling and conducting tests; and foundation works, including excavation and lateral support works, pile caps construction, earth works, structural steel works, underground drainage works, and demolition works. It also provides construction services, such as structural steel works; and advisory and supervision services in substructure projects. The company serves project owners of the construction project or its consultants, and contractors of subcontractors. Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2024 and is based in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong. Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Phoenix Prosperity Investment Limited.

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Benzinga23d ago