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PGNYProgyny, Inc.Sell5.6·$30.22+2.61%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Progyny has delivered four consecutive earnings beats averaging 15.5% above estimates with excellent free cash flow conversion of 296%, but the stock has reached analyst targets and the current price offers no meaningful upside cushion.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Cashflow StrengthStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • Valuation Target ExhaustionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Progyny, Inc. (PGNY) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Healthcare Plans

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $30.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.3% away).

Progyny, Inc., a benefits management company, provides fertility, family building, and women's health benefits solutions in the United States. It offers fertility benefits solutions, such as differentiated benefits plan design that includes smart cycle treatment bundle;... Read more

$30.22-1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 11 Healthcare Plans
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.46%
Stop $28.46Target $29.71(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$30.00-0.7%11 analysts
$29.71our TP
$30.22price
$30.00mean
$26
$33

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $30.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.3% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.3% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.2): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.2
P/E (Fwd)13.4
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA19.8
Profit Mgn5.2%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth1.4%
Beta1.02
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertechnology industry clients
    10-K Item 1A: 'In addition, we generate a significant portion of our revenue from clients in the technology industry.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
86 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.08Resistance $30.32

Price Targets

$28
$30
A.Upside-1.7%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PGNY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $30.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.3% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $28.46. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PGNY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.71 (-1.7% upside). Prior stop was $28.46. Stop-loss: $28.46.

What are the risks of investing in PGNY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.3% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 6.2): -1.5.

Is PGNY overvalued or undervalued?

Progyny, Inc. trades at a P/E of 39.2 (forward 13.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PGNY?

17 analysts cover PGNY with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Progyny, Inc. do?Progyny, Inc., a benefits management company, provides fertility, family building, and women's health benefits...

Progyny, Inc., a benefits management company, provides fertility, family building, and women's health benefits solutions in the United States. It offers fertility benefits solutions, such as differentiated benefits plan design that includes smart cycle treatment bundle; personalized concierge-style member support services; and a selective network of fertility specialists. The company also offers Progyny Rx, an integrated pharmacy benefits solution that provides access to the medications needed during their treatment and offers care management services, as well as pregnancy and postpartum, menopause and midlife, benefit and leave navigation, and parent and child wellbeing solutions. In addition, it provides assistance service program where various services can be offered through a reimbursement program, including adoption, surrogacy, doula, and travel reimbursement when travel is required to receive medical services. The company was formerly known as Auxogyn, Inc. and changed its name to Progyny, Inc. in 2015. Progyny, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Related stocks: ALHC (Alignment Healthcare, Inc.) · OSCR (Oscar Health, Inc.) · CLOV (Clover Health Investments, Corp) · MOH (Molina Healthcare Inc)
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