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PGNYProgyny, Inc.Hold6.2·$26.28+1.51%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Progyny has delivered four consecutive earnings beats averaging 15.5% above estimates with excellent free cash flow conversion of 296%, but the stock has reached analyst targets and the current price offers no meaningful upside cushion.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Cashflow StrengthImproving
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyDeteriorating
  • Valuation Target ExhaustionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Progyny, Inc. (PGNY) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Healthcare Plans

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

Progyny, Inc., a benefits management company, provides fertility, family building, and women's health benefits solutions in the United States. It offers fertility benefits solutions, such as differentiated benefits plan design that includes smart cycle treatment bundle;... Read more

$26.28+12.0% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#2 of 11 Healthcare Plans
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.12%
Stop $24.44Target $29.42(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$33.82+28.7%11 analysts
$29.42our TP
$26.28price
$33.82mean
$40

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202683d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.5
P/E (Fwd)11.2
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA14.1
Profit Mgn6.0%
ROE16.2%
Rev Growth5.3%
Beta1.02
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.13bearish
IV51%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertechnology industry clients
    10-K Item 1A: 'In addition, we generate a significant portion of our revenue from clients in the technology industry.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.6
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.6
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 21)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
21 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.09Resistance $32.70

Price Targets

$24
$29
A.Upside+12.0%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PGNY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $29.42 (+11.9%), stop $24.44 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PGNY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.42 (+12.0% upside). Target $29.42 (+11.9%), stop $24.44 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $24.44.

What are the risks of investing in PGNY?

Negative momentum.

Is PGNY overvalued or undervalued?

Progyny, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.5 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PGNY?

17 analysts cover PGNY with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Progyny, Inc. do?Progyny, Inc., a benefits management company, provides fertility, family building, and women's health benefits...

Progyny, Inc., a benefits management company, provides fertility, family building, and women's health benefits solutions in the United States. It offers fertility benefits solutions, such as differentiated benefits plan design that includes smart cycle treatment bundle; personalized concierge-style member support services; and a selective network of fertility specialists. The company also offers Progyny Rx, an integrated pharmacy benefits solution that provides access to the medications needed during their treatment and offers care management services, as well as pregnancy and postpartum, menopause and midlife, benefit and leave navigation, and parent and child wellbeing solutions. In addition, it provides assistance service program where various services can be offered through a reimbursement program, including adoption, surrogacy, doula, and travel reimbursement when travel is required to receive medical services. The company was formerly known as Auxogyn, Inc. and changed its name to Progyny, Inc. in 2015. Progyny, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Related stocks: OSCR (Oscar Health, Inc.) · ALHC (Alignment Healthcare, Inc.) · CLOV (Clover Health Investments, Corp) · MOH (Molina Healthcare Inc)
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