Skip to main content
PGNYProgyny, Inc.Buy Wait5.7·$31.19+1.60%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Progyny has delivered four consecutive earnings beats averaging 15.5% above estimates with excellent free cash flow conversion of 296%, but the stock has reached analyst targets and the current price offers no meaningful upside cushion.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Cashflow StrengthStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyDeteriorating
  • Valuation Target ExhaustionDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Progyny, Inc. (PGNY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Healthcare Plans

Wait for pullback to $27.36. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.19. Engine's entry $27.36 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Progyny, Inc., a benefits management company, provides fertility, family building, and women's health benefits solutions in the United States. It offers fertility benefits solutions, such as differentiated benefits plan design that includes smart cycle treatment bundle;... Read more

$31.19-9.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 11 Healthcare Plans
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.19%
Entry $27.36(support + ATR (held))Stop $25.35Target $32.40(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$32.45+4.1%11 analysts
$32.40our TP
$31.19price
$32.45mean
$27
$38

Wait for pullback to $27.36. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.19. Engine's entry $27.36 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.0
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA20.5
Profit Mgn5.2%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth1.4%
Beta1.02
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.40bearish
IV73%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertechnology industry clients
    10-K Item 1A: 'In addition, we generate a significant portion of our revenue from clients in the technology industry.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.25Resistance $33.06

Price Targets

$25
$27
$32
A.Upside-9.5%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PGNY stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $27.36. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.19. Engine's entry $27.36 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $32.40 (+3.9%), stop $25.35 (−23.0%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PGNY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.40 (-9.5% upside). Target $32.40 (+3.9%), stop $25.35 (−23.0%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $25.35.

What are the risks of investing in PGNY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is PGNY overvalued or undervalued?

Progyny, Inc. trades at a P/E of 40.0 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PGNY?

17 analysts cover PGNY with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Progyny, Inc. do?Progyny, Inc., a benefits management company, provides fertility, family building, and women's health benefits...

Progyny, Inc., a benefits management company, provides fertility, family building, and women's health benefits solutions in the United States. It offers fertility benefits solutions, such as differentiated benefits plan design that includes smart cycle treatment bundle; personalized concierge-style member support services; and a selective network of fertility specialists. The company also offers Progyny Rx, an integrated pharmacy benefits solution that provides access to the medications needed during their treatment and offers care management services, as well as pregnancy and postpartum, menopause and midlife, benefit and leave navigation, and parent and child wellbeing solutions. In addition, it provides assistance service program where various services can be offered through a reimbursement program, including adoption, surrogacy, doula, and travel reimbursement when travel is required to receive medical services. The company was formerly known as Auxogyn, Inc. and changed its name to Progyny, Inc. in 2015. Progyny, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Related stocks: ALHC (Alignment Healthcare, Inc.) · OSCR (Oscar Health, Inc.) · CLOV (Clover Health Investments, Corp) · MOH (Molina Healthcare Inc)
Home Stocks PGNY

Latest news

Latest News

The Motley Fool7d agoCONCERN
Yahoo Finance88d ago
Simplywall.st60d ago
Simplywall.st4d ago
Sahm18d ago
Yahoo Finance18d agoEarnings
GuruFocus81d agoEarnings
StockStory81d agoEarnings
MSN89d ago
Yahoo Finance89d ago
Yahoo Finance89d ago
Sahm89d agoProduct
GuruFocus5d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance12d ago
Yahoo Finance12d ago
GuruFocus54d ago
MSN87d ago
Moomoo3d agoAnalyst
TradingKey38d ago
TradingKey38d ago
Loading more...