Alignment Healthcare, Inc. (ALHC) Stock Analysis
Healthcare · Healthcare Plans
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.35: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.
Alignment Healthcare provides Medicare Advantage health plans in 45 markets across California, North Carolina, Nevada, Arizona, and Texas, serving 236,300 Health Plan Members as of December 31, 2025. Revenue consists almost entirely of capitated PMPM payments from CMS under... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.35: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Alignment Healthcare, Inc.
Latest news
- Alignment Healthcare Announces CEO John Kao Also Named To Chairman Of The Board — benzinga May 12, 2026 positive
- Alignment Healthcare To Replace Sun Country Airlines In The S&P Smallcap 600 Effective Prior To The Opening Of Trading O — benzinga May 11, 2026 neutral
- UBS Maintains Neutral on Alignment Healthcare, Raises Price Target to $22 — benzinga May 1, 2026 neutral
- Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight on Alignment Healthcare, Raises Price Target to $19 — benzinga May 1, 2026 positive
- Alignment Healthcare Sees Q2 Sales $1.295B-$1.315B vs $1.315B Est — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-05-24T12:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerCMS10-K Item 1: 'We currently derive substantially all of our revenue from CMS contracts related to our Medicare Advantage health plans.'
- MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia10-K Item 1: 'Alignment offered Medicare Advantage plans in 45 markets across California (22 markets)'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.35: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $15.22. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $21.88 (+33.8% upside). Prior stop was $15.22. Stop-loss: $15.22.
Concentration risk — Customer: CMS; Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.2%), Material insider selling (9 sells, 0.02% of cap).
Alignment Healthcare, Inc. trades at a P/E of 163.5 (forward 22.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover ALHC with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $25.
What does Alignment Healthcare, Inc. do?Alignment Healthcare provides Medicare Advantage health plans in 45 markets across California, North Carolina, Nevada,...
Alignment Healthcare provides Medicare Advantage health plans in 45 markets across California, North Carolina, Nevada, Arizona, and Texas, serving 236,300 Health Plan Members as of December 31, 2025. Revenue consists almost entirely of capitated PMPM payments from CMS under Medicare Advantage contracts. California accounts for 22 of 45 markets.