Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) Stock Analysis
Healthcare · Healthcare Plans
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $182.47: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Molina Healthcare provides managed care under Medicaid (75% of 2025 premium revenue, 4.57M members), Medicare, and Marketplace segments across 21 US states, serving approximately 5.5 million members total. Premium revenue was $43.1B in 2025 with an MCR of 91.7%; top four... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $182.47: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Molina Healthcare Inc
Latest news
- Trump's Trading Disclosure Shows Activity In Nvidia, AMD, Microsoft, Oracle And Other Major Stocks — benzinga May 14, 2026 neutral
- Truist Securities Maintains Hold on Molina Healthcare, Raises Price Target to $205 — benzinga May 11, 2026 positive
- Cantor Fitzgerald Maintains Neutral on Molina Healthcare, Raises Price Target to $209 — benzinga May 11, 2026 positive
- Baird Maintains Neutral on Molina Healthcare, Raises Price Target to $163 — benzinga May 11, 2026 positive
- Molina Healthcare Warns One Big Beautiful Bill And Other State Initiatives Could Reduce Medicaid Membership Enrollment B — benzinga May 8, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductMedicaid program75%10-K Item 1: 'Our Medicaid premium revenue constituted 75% of our consolidated premium revenue in the year ended December 31, 2025.'
- MEDIUMGeographictop four Medicaid states (CA, NY, TX, WA)54%10-K Item 1A: 'top four health plans were in California, New York, Texas, and Washington, with aggregate Medicaid premium revenue of $17.3 billion, or approximately 54% of total Medicaid premium revenue'
- LOWGeographicTexas Medicaid18%10-K Item 1: 'Our Texas Medicaid contracts represented approximately $5,735 million, or 18%, of consolidated Medicaid premium revenue in 2025.'
- LOWGeographicCalifornia Medicaid13%10-K Item 1: 'Our California Medicaid contracts represented premium revenue of approximately $4,170 million, or 13%, of our consolidated Medicaid premium revenue in 2025.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
5 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -4.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $182.47: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $170.47. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $196.54 (+7.2% upside). Prior stop was $170.47. Stop-loss: $170.47.
Concentration risk — Product: Medicaid program (75.0%); Target reached (-10.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).
Molina Healthcare Inc trades at a P/E of 49.6 (forward 20.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
24 analysts cover MOH with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $183.
What does Molina Healthcare Inc do?Molina Healthcare provides managed care under Medicaid (75% of 2025 premium revenue, 4.57M members), Medicare, and...
Molina Healthcare provides managed care under Medicaid (75% of 2025 premium revenue, 4.57M members), Medicare, and Marketplace segments across 21 US states, serving approximately 5.5 million members total. Premium revenue was $43.1B in 2025 with an MCR of 91.7%; top four Medicaid states (California, New York, Texas, Washington) account for ~54% of Medicaid premium revenue.