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PDSPrecision Drilling CorporationSell5.7·$84.63+2.14%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Precision Drilling is attractively priced at a forward P/E of 10.5x with a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and strong technical positioning, but below-average business quality and 3 earnings misses in the last 4 quarters create a risk profile that exceeds the available upside at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Energy DrillerDeteriorating
  • Piotroski Balance Sheet StrengthStable
  • Earnings Miss PatternStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Precision Drilling Corporation (PDS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $84.63: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Precision Drilling Corporation, a drilling company, provides onshore drilling services to exploration and production companies in the oil and natural gas and geothermal industries in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through Contract Drilling Services;... Read more

$84.63+3.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#2 of 10 Oil & Gas Drilling
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield12.70%
Stop $78.71Target $87.95(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$103.46+22.3%3 analysts
$87.95our TP
$84.63price
$103.46mean
$118

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $84.63: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202674d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA3.8
Profit Mgn-1.7%
ROE-1.9%
Rev Growth11.4%
Beta1.26
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.3
Roa
2.0
Gross Margin
2.2
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.4
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $71.92Resistance $88.31

Price Targets

$79
$88
A.Upside+3.9%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PDS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $84.63: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $78.71. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PDS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $87.95 (+3.9% upside). Prior stop was $78.71. Stop-loss: $78.71.

What are the risks of investing in PDS?

Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is PDS overvalued or undervalued?

Precision Drilling Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PDS?

17 analysts cover PDS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $103.

What does Precision Drilling Corporation do?Precision Drilling Corporation, a drilling company, provides onshore drilling services to exploration and production...

Precision Drilling Corporation, a drilling company, provides onshore drilling services to exploration and production companies in the oil and natural gas and geothermal industries in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through Contract Drilling Services; and Completion and Production Services segments. The Contract Drilling Services segment offers onshore well drilling services to exploration and production companies in the oil, natural gas, and geothermal industry. This segment also offers services, including turnkey drilling contracts; and procurement and distribution of oilfield supplies, as well as manufacture, sale, and repair of drilling and service rig equipment. In addition, the company offers automation solutions for drilling operations comprising AlphaAutomation, AlphaTM, AlphaApps, AlphaAnalytics, and AlphaARMS; and EverGreen suite of environmental solutions. The Completion and Production Services segment provide service rigs for well completion, workover, abandonment, maintenance, and re-entry preparation services; equipment rentals; and camp and catering services to oil and natural gas exploration and production companies. This segment also operates well completion and workover services. Precision Drilling Corporation was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Related stocks: SDRL (Seadrill Limited) · PTEN (Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc.) · RIG (Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)) · SOC (Sable Offshore Corp.) · NBR (Nabors Industries Ltd.)
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