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PDSPrecision Drilling CorporationSell5.2·$75.69+0.57%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Precision Drilling is attractively priced at a forward P/E of 10.5x with a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and strong technical positioning, but below-average business quality and 3 earnings misses in the last 4 quarters create a risk profile that exceeds the available upside at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Energy DrillerStable
  • Piotroski Balance Sheet StrengthStable
  • Earnings Miss PatternStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Precision Drilling Corporation (PDS) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.69: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Precision Drilling Corporation, a drilling company, provides onshore drilling services to exploration and production companies in the oil and natural gas and geothermal industries in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through Contract Drilling Services;... Read more

$75.69+12.8% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#5 of 10 Oil & Gas Drilling
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield15.40%
Stop $72.32Target $85.39(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$100.46+32.7%3 analysts
$85.39our TP
$75.69price
$100.46mean
$116

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.69: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202624d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$980M
EV/EBITDA3.6
Profit Mgn-0.8%
ROE-0.8%
Rev Growth6.0%
Beta1.27
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV60%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.6
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 9, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+6.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
2.2
Gross Margin
2.4
Operating Margin
3.0
Moat
4.4
Current Ratio
6.1
Piotroski F
10.0
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 24d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
9 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $74.56Resistance $99.78

Price Targets

$72
$85
A.Upside+12.8%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (24d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PDS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.69: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $72.32. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PDS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $85.39 (+12.8% upside). Prior stop was $72.32. Stop-loss: $72.32.

What are the risks of investing in PDS?

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is PDS overvalued or undervalued?

Precision Drilling Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PDS?

17 analysts cover PDS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $100.

What does Precision Drilling Corporation do?Precision Drilling Corporation, a drilling company, provides onshore drilling services to exploration and production...

Precision Drilling Corporation, a drilling company, provides onshore drilling services to exploration and production companies in the oil and natural gas and geothermal industries in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through Contract Drilling Services; and Completion and Production Services segments. The Contract Drilling Services segment offers onshore well drilling services to exploration and production companies in the oil, natural gas, and geothermal industry. This segment also offers services, including turnkey drilling contracts; and procurement and distribution of oilfield supplies, as well as manufacture, sale, and repair of drilling and service rig equipment. In addition, the company offers automation solutions for drilling operations comprising AlphaAutomation, AlphaTM, AlphaApps, AlphaAnalytics, and AlphaARMS; and EverGreen suite of environmental solutions. The Completion and Production Services segment provide service rigs for well completion, workover, abandonment, maintenance, and re-entry preparation services; equipment rentals; and camp and catering services to oil and natural gas exploration and production companies. This segment also operates well completion and workover services. Precision Drilling Corporation was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Related stocks: BORR (Borr Drilling Limited) · RIG (Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)) · NBR (Nabors Industries Ltd.) · SOC (Sable Offshore Corp.) · SDRL (Seadrill Limited)
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